Fifa International · resolved market
Paraguay to score first vs. France?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19ba494229f941cf4d330f00e485e213772ba075650ed7ea3d2cd36503bd98eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 16c | 7,982$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,306.96 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 16c | 7,842$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,216.45 | 145 | 53.8%78 W · 67 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 15c | 7,371$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.99 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…38b3backed Yes | 19c | 6,184$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 75c | 5,367$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.85 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Yes | 15c | 3,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabfc…4247backed Yes | 16c | 2,047$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.52 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…935dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,941$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501 | 59 | 25.4%15 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 14c | 1,786$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 15c | 1,395$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.65 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4268…542bbacked Yes | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes | 41c | 1,225$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 15c | 1,132$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed Yes | 15c | 1,044$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.94 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb00…2f38backed Yes | 14c | 850$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…26a1backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed Yes | 15c | 702.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…bc1cbacked Yes | 8c | 700.44$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.04 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5d…1f6ebacked Yes | 16c | 619.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 15c | 553.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.98 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 16c | 514.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.16 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 16c | 500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed Yes | 15c | 385.81$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bc…0d48backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 87 | 32.2%28 W · 59 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5641…6b17backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 42.9%48 W · 64 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2888…0fe4backed Yes | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…8d96backed Yes | 16c | 318.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 25cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…43e2backed Yes | 16c | 312.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 281 | 34.5%97 W · 184 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 16c | 306$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2439…3ed7backed Yes | 16c | 305.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72ef…cd31backed Yes | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 205 | 11.7%24 W · 181 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb7…f020backed Yes | 17c | 297.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.21per pick | 30cpaid | -66%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…f12cbacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…6812backed Yes | 8c | 260$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…121cbacked Yes | 17c | 255.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa8…3b91backed Yes | 15c | 233.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…144bbacked Yes | 17c | 223.53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…33a1backed Yes | 9c | 222$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 127 | 9.4%12 W · 115 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 16c | 218.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 116 | 31.9%37 W · 79 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5b…3b06backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Yes | 14c | 214.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ce…362bbacked Yes | 14c | 201.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf91…4c43backed Yes | 15c | 198.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked Yes | 17c | 185.29$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabca…3cf4backed Yes | 16c | 182$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 14c | 180$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d43…8156backed Yes | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 152.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb4…0060backed Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 240 | 43.3%104 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…7c71backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 20.4%10 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…6af8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Yes | 16c | 141.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7264…8121backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 28%21 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 15c | 130.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.82 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8740…70f4backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae8…414abacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7699…70b9backed Yes | 16c | 112.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…352dbacked Yes | 17c | 109.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda9b…14b5backed Yes | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86ff…00a2backed Yes | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…18cfbacked Yes | 15c | 105$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3c…b218backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 118 | 54.2%64 W · 54 L | +9.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdae…c02ebacked Yes | 14c | 97.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 110 | 33.6%37 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb463…4c26backed Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -88%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755f…f94abacked Yes | 23c | 85.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 15.6%7 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 66c | 80$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 55c | 66.27$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07db…29e4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 34.5%60 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb0…eb8dbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Paraguay to score first vs. France?this page
- France to score first vs. Paraguay?Yes won
- Paraguay vs. France: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.