Fifa International · resolved market
France to score first vs. Paraguay?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x698da6e4ca86768e667fcd2d73cd3bde28475298ed45f36e06476c4ce6dea5b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,146
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $194,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,146 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked No | 17c | 36,570$6,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,288.99 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 24c | 6,147$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.7 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 35c | 5,950$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,082.45 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed No | 34c | 5,650$1,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,915.83 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 18c | 5,591$984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.86 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 19c | 4,905$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.07 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 18c | 4,778$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.02 | 154 | 41.6%64 W · 90 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 19c | 4,265$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.79 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…bd70backed No | 36c | 4,165$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.25 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 18c | 3,824$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.88 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 19c | 2,742$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.62 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 80c | 2,661$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.88 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 18c | 2,638$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.01 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…fc60backed No | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc96e…f1f9backed Yes | 74c | 2,157$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.09 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 18c | 1,425$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.75 | 182 | 46.2%84 W · 98 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked No | 18c | 1,409$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.25 | 476 | 48.5%231 W · 245 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8464…f5b8backed Yes | 71c | 1,408$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.45 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 19c | 1,400$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.6 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 20c | 1,318$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.37 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 16c | 1,157$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Yes | 63c | 1,015$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.55 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed Yes | 64c | 1,013$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.87 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b68…cdb2backed Yes | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2da…2ba1backed Yes | 78c | 843.15$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 19c | 842$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.98 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Yes | 79c | 769.64$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes | 64c | 750.86$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.31 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed No | 28c | 679.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.39 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 73c | 591.36$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.48 | 1,795 | 44.2%794 W · 1,001 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd00…d1afbacked Yes | 65c | 514.22$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.51 | 455 | 28.4%129 W · 326 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 64c | 513.08$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51bf…d7a5backed Yes | 74c | 503.41$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.89 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +5.6wins | +0.30per pick | 55cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 20c | 489$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.11 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 65c | 468$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.8 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…677abacked Yes | 70c | 459.96$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d0…5450backed No | 17c | 458.36$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.34 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 21cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed Yes | 64c | 457.75$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.94 | 326 | 39%127 W · 199 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12d…0fddbacked Yes | 72c | 451.14$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 18c | 389.98$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…0187backed No | 20c | 381.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Yes | 65c | 359.3$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.75 | 657 | 37.4%246 W · 411 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…1b86backed No | 28c | 340$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.2 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495c…c9eabacked No | 29c | 339.95$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.89 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39f…8d53backed Yes | 80c | 337.5$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4f…0b9ebacked Yes | 76c | 328.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 64c | 300.47$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.52 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 18c | 299.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 20c | 293.24$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.61 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 21c | 280.8$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 350 | 35.7%125 W · 225 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d1…48b0backed Yes | 74c | 275.46$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.62 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Yes | 65c | 274.96$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 73c | 272.89$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.89 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 14c | 266.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 15c | 262.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56c8…7cc8backed No | 27c | 255.45$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 122 | 41%50 W · 72 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 18c | 243$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 17c | 231$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.27 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 65c | 221.49$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.52 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…1af3backed Yes | 69c | 203.55$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 25c | 177.56$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.81 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…8f3fbacked No | 28c | 173.75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 20c | 171.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d8…9e8dbacked No | 40c | 164.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Yes | 69c | 162.42$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked No | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 18c | 156$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…5fefbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 100 | 62%62 W · 38 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a52…cebdbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…0d1dbacked No | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 13c | 132.39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…a939backed No | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 89 | 14.6%13 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 18c | 110.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 68c | 105.01$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9393…18cfbacked Yes | 65c | 105$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.75 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1799…344dbacked No | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 19c | 91.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 335 | 38.8%130 W · 205 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Yes | 71c | 88.87$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.77 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -5.3wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…6c2abacked No | 36c | 85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x530d…77f2backed No | 29c | 85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfda…4fe6backed No | 38c | 84.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 243 | 44.9%109 W · 134 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 19c | 84.93$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe44…af27backed No | 17c | 84$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 19c | 82.9$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f2…6c8ebacked Yes | 63c | 79.41$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.42 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb0…5c0cbacked No | 30c | 71.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 48cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 74c | 71.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2064…0ab1backed Yes | 60c | 71.04$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.42 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea3c…eeabbacked Yes | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7e…4938backed Yes | 72c | 66.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…02f1backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59b…5c85backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 149 | 73.2%109 W · 40 L | +17.6wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…8dadbacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 19c | 59.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 332 | 37.3%124 W · 208 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed Yes | 72c | 56.55$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed5…3320backed No | 19c | 55.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed No | 39c | 53.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…4ffabacked Yes | 66c | 42.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- France to score first vs. Paraguay?this page
- Paraguay to score first vs. France?No won
- Paraguay vs. France: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.