Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8eee7d68b9880e0a318ff741f110978d889df1a63ff7fc51960ec0933c8926
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $79,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked No | 36c | 15,600$5,616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,615.97 | 86 | 31.4%27 W · 59 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 64c | 14,700$9,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,292 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked No | 36c | 12,169$4,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.87 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x407b…95a4backed Yes | 64c | 7,229$4,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,602.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 64c | 5,827$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 64c | 3,736$2,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.05 | 362 | 50%181 W · 181 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 36c | 3,679$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.28 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 36c | 3,651$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.99 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 64c | 2,850$1,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 311 | 52.7%164 W · 147 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 36c | 2,682$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965.18 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 64c | 2,505$1,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.8 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed No | 36c | 2,292$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.52 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 36c | 2,117$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.87 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 1,914$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.91 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 379 | 55.7%211 W · 168 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382e…4f6bbacked Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Yes | 64c | 1,156$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.61 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85ae…5399backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 37c | 1,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Yes | 62c | 806$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.28 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 36c | 767.82$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 31c | 556.99$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5782…8ce5backed Yes | 64c | 520$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.2 | 190 | 62.6%119 W · 71 L | +13.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…9d56backed Yes | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…60fbbacked Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33a1…2a16backed Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 108 | 50%54 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4453…dd3bbacked Yes | 69c | 435.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.13 | 113 | 57.5%65 W · 48 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 36c | 398.99$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.74 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x526e…2f84backed Yes | 64c | 307.33$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.64 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79f5…79c7backed Yes | 64c | 305.58$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Yes | 64c | 296.88$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.88 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 64c | 254.69$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c5e…8819backed Yes | 64c | 253.13$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.13 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 64c | 249.95$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.98 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 7c | 245.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 37c | 240.64$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.64 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…c448backed Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…d1ffbacked Yes | 64c | 234.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.38 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +7.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 37c | 180.94$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 36c | 175$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 36c | 168.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 150 | 34.7%52 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…5d96backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 194 | 31.4%61 W · 133 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ed…00a1backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca2…11f5backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5da5…e620backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f9…9faebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 144 | 66%95 W · 49 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x517c…e3fcbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4dd…39e4backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -6.8wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf78e…3215backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5da9…165cbacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c9…8beabacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba34…32b8backed Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 261 | 51.7%135 W · 126 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 37c | 149.08$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.16 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf583…4771backed Yes | 64c | 147.66$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a9b…59eabacked Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea5…e3c5backed Yes | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1901…31cebacked Yes | 64c | 140.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.63 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 11c | 139.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…1422backed Yes | 64c | 117.95$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 59cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…ce68backed Yes | 64c | 101.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.68 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…8de0backed Yes | 64c | 101.14$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb3…1109backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked Yes | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed No | 34c | 99.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 36c | 84.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.06 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2d…5922backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5c…46c3backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c9…c1dcbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 83 | 21.7%18 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b7…7b93backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc32a…f5b0backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +68.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63b…3a90backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f4…4a91backed Yes | 64c | 78.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5630…7574backed Yes | 64c | 78.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e8…4fffbacked Yes | 64c | 78.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.11 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Yes | 63c | 77.88$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e36…1f39backed Yes | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed97…d64fbacked Yes | 65c | 76.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 64c | 76.31$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.47 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 62c | 72.01$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 64c | 70.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 32c | 64.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ece…54e2backed No | 37c | 63.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8da8backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…f625backed Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe56…093dbacked Yes | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e24…a77ebacked Yes | 64c | 60$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed No | 36c | 56.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 481 | 54.9%264 W · 217 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd054…c6bebacked Yes | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed No | 36c | 51.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 1,151 | 58.5%673 W · 478 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked No | 20c | 51.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…1ba5backed Yes | 64c | 50.91$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 63c | 50.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.76 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?this page
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first?No won
- Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.