Fifa International · resolved market
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d65ddf1544bdecf7af4e4427a1857411c5146d20b9005e03baa48e81d9d78da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,481
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,830
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,481 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 7,290$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.44 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 5,858$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.76 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 4,147$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.43 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 9c | 3,674$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.98 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 9c | 3,000$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.29 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 9c | 1,571$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc2…077bbacked Yes | 11c | 1,000$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.45 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb6…8c80backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes | 10c | 642.52$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.77 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 8c | 545.18$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…5366backed Yes | 9c | 533.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 116 | 39.7%46 W · 70 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…449dbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 10c | 480$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 11c | 468$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.52 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1859backed Yes | 11c | 454.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Yes | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Yes | 10c | 443.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 298 | 13.8%41 W · 257 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 10c | 333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 9c | 270.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x013e…65ddbacked Yes | 10c | 260$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +48%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes | 9c | 259.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 288 | 8%23 W · 265 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef4f…4598backed Yes | 10c | 253$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 232 | 36.6%85 W · 147 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…b0a7backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 756 | 30.4%230 W · 526 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…f44dbacked Yes | 10c | 235$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +9.7wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…818fbacked Yes | 10c | 167.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.11per pick | 20cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…80acbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 135 | 28.1%38 W · 97 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec70…e529backed Yes | 9c | 162.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb469…9e8fbacked Yes | 9c | 158.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…39c8backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 85 | 18.8%16 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebab…cee0backed Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | +8.3wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Yes | 9c | 120$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…9ccabacked Yes | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 61 | 26.2%16 W · 45 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x291b…34bebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 107 | 43.9%47 W · 60 L | +11.2wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72bb…b38fbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe888…74fdbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 271 | 28.4%77 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?Yes won
- Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.