Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1b0dd4ad52e25dda46e4105abd8864b2385c7f8f4dadf4257586e091a2ae12b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $244,400
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,092
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $244,400 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e2…4b92backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 21,818$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.79 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…14d2backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…425abacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…c8ddbacked Yes | 29c | 13,866$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1761…9504backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 16cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7b…f382backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 30c | 4,461$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.27 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07a9…32c8backed Yes | 29c | 4,255$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,234 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 4,167$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,218.3 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea6…180dbacked No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,160 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f9…fc82backed Yes | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 85 | 28.2%24 W · 61 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +41%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed No | 71c | 3,232$2,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.54 | 864 | 52.7%455 W · 409 L | +26.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 71c | 3,115$2,207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$907.52 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked No | 70c | 2,635$1,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.41 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 2,275$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.82 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 2,152$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.8 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 71c | 1,560$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.29 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 69c | 1,484$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.77 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 71c | 1,000$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 182 | 48.9%89 W · 93 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0936…fb00backed No | 73c | 998$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.46 | 82 | 64.6%53 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 72c | 900$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 71c | 789.67$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.17 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bc8…adf7backed No | 71c | 788.63$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.7 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 71c | 767.8$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.16 | 179 | 53.6%96 W · 83 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…d60fbacked Yes | 28c | 713.82$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.87 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 12cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…6a24backed Yes | 28c | 701.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90f8…64c9backed Yes | 29c | 689.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 232 | 24.1%56 W · 176 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -36%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cba…351cbacked No | 71c | 587.9$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.49 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863a…e495backed No | 72c | 498.39$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.55 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.7wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfedd…3d6dbacked No | 72c | 483.33$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.33 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.2wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 29c | 480$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.2 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd0…8f38backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecf…9648backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa7…2723backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f21…68fbbacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7673…df96backed No | 71c | 319$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.51 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.25per pick | 56cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed No | 71c | 316$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.64 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes | 27c | 310.66$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.88 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b2…bed6backed No | 73c | 304.11$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.11 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…677abacked Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.86 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d7…6530backed No | 71c | 292$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 236 | 40.3%95 W · 141 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd965…f2a4backed No | 72c | 253.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…9d5cbacked No | 71c | 246.35$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.44 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad1c…6016backed No | 71c | 243.1$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 71c | 240.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.21 | 342 | 38.6%132 W · 210 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf83a…e7febacked No | 72c | 195.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.63 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x632c…06cbbacked Yes | 30c | 190.08$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.09 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d90…c448backed Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb593…1dcabacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +37%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 176$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 175.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed No | 72c | 175$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 171.12$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef1…3312backed Yes | 31c | 162.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…3c1dbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…ecfabacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Yes | 30c | 161.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 149.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 1,135 | 40.2%456 W · 679 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd180…aa0cbacked No | 72c | 145.83$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 69c | 130.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 26c | 125$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.19 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Yes | 29c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 70c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ca…219bbacked Yes | 30c | 109.17$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.75 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 29c | 106.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3e…2a9ebacked Yes | 30c | 104.17$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…ce68backed Yes | 29c | 103.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…2d0ebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a9…2948backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa5…34d3backed Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 69c | 95.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.76 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 31c | 94.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Yes | 31c | 94.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 1,063 | 31.7%337 W · 726 L | -33.7wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes | 31c | 93.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 202 | 27.2%55 W · 147 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked No | 72c | 92.35$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 28c | 83.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Yes | 30c | 76.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb037…26dfbacked Yes | 30c | 75.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…ae13backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaeb…4a50backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 14.9%10 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…e929backed Yes | 28c | 67.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x492e…e77fbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 71c | 58.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.89 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 29c | 53.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…2770backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 72c | 52.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 71c | 51.56$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 866 | 56.4%488 W · 378 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…c482backed Yes | 23c | 51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1e…5bb5backed No | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 457 | 40.3%184 W · 273 L | -28.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?this page
- Argentina to score first vs. Switzerland?Yes won
- Argentina vs. Switzerland: Neither team to score first?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.