TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7c10…35dc

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT2774.1%20 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+10.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Dalibor Svrcina vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$21.45
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Tallon Griekspoor vs Jenson Brooksbybacked Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.73
China Open: Emma Navarro vs Jessica Pegulabacked Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$21.96
China Open: Learner Tien vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.81
China Open: Maya Joint vs Sonay Kartalbacked Joint · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.2
China Open: Linda Noskova vs Xiyu Wangbacked Noskova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$20.65
Japan Open Tennis Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Holger Runebacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT+37.9%+$21.16
China Open: Lorenzo Sonego vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$22.91
China Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+37%+$22.19
China Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.57
China Open, Qualification: Arthur Rinderknech vs David Goffinbacked Rinderknech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$99.75
Hangzhou Open: Valentin Royer vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+29.6%+$42.03
Hangzhou Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+37%+$21.6
Korea Open: Suzan Lamens vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Siniakova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$22.02
ATP Toronto – Lehecka vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+37%+$21.06
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. De Minaurbacked De Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$42.24
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Cerundolobacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$21.25
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. Vukicbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$22.09
ATP Toronto – Muller vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$22.08
ATP Toronto – Fils vs. Carreno Bustabacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$22.33
ATP Toronto – Safiullin vs. Ruudbacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.78
ATP Kitzbuhel – Bublik vs. van de Zandschulpbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$19.3
ATP Washington D.C – Medvedev vs. Wubacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$20.62
Wimbledon Final – Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,238Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$1,288.03
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Taylor Fritz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.11
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$106.08
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$89.53
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.97
Switzerland to score first vs. Argentina?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$25.86
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$55.2
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.53
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$59.49
Exact Score: England 0 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.4
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)backed DR Congo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$55.12
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.2
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.1
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
All 17 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.75
Mariners vs. Tigersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$800.82
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,032Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,031.53
Guardians vs. Astrosbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$345.52
Pirates vs. Royalsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.51
All 5 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+85.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellatobacked Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$44.1
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuanibacked Matthews · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$731Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$968.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick73cpaid+38.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: LNG Esports vs. EDward Gamingbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$24
League of Legends: Hanwha Life Esports vs. KT Rolsterbacked Hanwha · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$20.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MLS: Will New York Red Bulls vs. Inter Miami end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valkyries vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$21.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ODI Series Sri Lanka vs Pakistan, Women: Sri Lanka vs Pakistanbacked Pakistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.