WNBA · resolved market
Valkyries vs Aces
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2baa3b085cef07d668dcece70a93a01ba77e75dc6539e4f8db8879e4222e9e28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Acesof Valkyries, Aces
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,684
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Valkyries | 26c | 2,509$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.78 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Aces | 77c | 1,836$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.87 | 73 | 27.4%20 W · 53 L | -10.3wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aces | 71c | 1,520$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.82 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Valkyries | 18c | 1,470$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.94 | 191 | 42.4%81 W · 110 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Aces | 74c | 1,219$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.94 | 386 | 50.3%194 W · 192 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Aces | 76c | 1,088$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.63 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Valkyries | 20c | 843.5$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.7 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Aces | 73c | 700$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed Aces | 76c | 508$386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Aces | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed Valkyries | 21c | 411.64$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed0e…b305backed Valkyries | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 20.2%18 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Valkyries | 26c | 386.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed Valkyries | 29c | 345$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Valkyries | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 234 | 31.6%74 W · 160 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Valkyries | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 272 | 32.7%89 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Aces | 75c | 309.23$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Valkyries | 25c | 299.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Valkyries | 27c | 299.67$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.85 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Aces | 74c | 156$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Valkyries | 27c | 148.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Aces | 73c | 139.41$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb6…8ebfbacked Valkyries | 26c | 124.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.99 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Aces | 73c | 118.47$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Valkyries | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 100 | 39%39 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Valkyries | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Aces | 76c | 88.1$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11c1…7fe5backed Valkyries | 25c | 88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Aces | 76c | 87.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.02 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Valkyries | 14c | 79.95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 43 | 2.3%1 W · 42 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 13cpaid | -93.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Valkyries | 27c | 78$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ff9…e494backed Valkyries | 28c | 64.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Valkyries | 32c | 53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.96 | 141 | 36.2%51 W · 90 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Aces | 68c | 53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.96 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Aces | 74c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c59…b8e9backed Valkyries | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.