MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c502e595f90021b7cc9ae9eef55b2224b94e28583531e5c73ad9937c173fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Mets, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $653,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $678,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $653,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Orioles | 47c | 307,081$142,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164,144.58 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Mets | 51c | 100,242$51,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,123.65 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Mets | 53c | 67,712$35,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,878.15 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Orioles | 47c | 62,350$29,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,767.64 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Mets | 53c | 52,855$28,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,025.85 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Mets | 53c | 46,000$24,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,430 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Mets | 53c | 43,400$23,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,002 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b0…6815backed Mets | 67c | 32,184$21,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,504.33 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Mets | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,900.01 | 245 | 53.5%131 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Orioles | 41c | 18,477$7,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,956.68 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Mets | 53c | 14,600$7,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,784 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Mets | 55c | 13,268$7,283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,282.98 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Mets | 59c | 11,557$6,803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,803.22 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Orioles | 60c | 5,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Orioles | 46c | 4,630$2,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,520.8 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…398cbacked Orioles | 51c | 4,352$2,206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Mets | 58c | 4,342$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 58c | 4,314$2,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,498.38 | 991 | 49.9%495 W · 496 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 59c | 4,277$2,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,748.22 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Mets | 59c | 4,175$2,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Orioles | 44c | 3,618$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.82 | 1,922 | 53.4%1,027 W · 895 L | +28.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfa…b7b1backed Mets | 52c | 3,429$1,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.27 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -11.5wins | -0.31per pick | 58cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Orioles | 56c | 3,153$1,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.31 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dae…f8b2backed Mets | 55c | 3,089$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Orioles | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.97 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 60c | 2,990$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.87 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Orioles | 42c | 2,938$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.9 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Mets | 48c | 2,936$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,402.2 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Orioles | 32c | 2,840$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,944.14 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Orioles | 49c | 2,645$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.02 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Mets | 12c | 2,290$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.46 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Orioles | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.98 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Mets | 53c | 1,963$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Mets | 54c | 1,698$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.43 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Mets | 55c | 1,636$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Orioles | 45c | 1,578$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.96 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Orioles | 38c | 1,554$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.24 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 33c | 1,516$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.07 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12d…d764backed Mets | 69c | 1,499$1,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,037.25 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 65cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Mets | 2c | 1,411$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Orioles | 40c | 1,350$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.77 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Mets | 55c | 1,283$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.68 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Mets | 33c | 1,080$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.03 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Mets | 6c | 1,066$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.89 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Orioles | 42c | 1,051$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Orioles | 41c | 1,032$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.01 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Mets | 26c | 1,030$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.45 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Orioles | 45c | 1,000$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Mets | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Mets | 56c | 999.77$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.87 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Orioles | 59c | 951.1$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.31 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed Mets | 68c | 949.93$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 61cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 44c | 947.44$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.21 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…12debacked Orioles | 46c | 879.9$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…67a4backed Mets | 60c | 805$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Mets | 61c | 800$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4981…5176backed Orioles | 41c | 799.35$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.35 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Mets | 48c | 777.08$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Mets | 75c | 729.71$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.2 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Mets | 59c | 703.39$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 144 | 53.5%77 W · 67 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Orioles | 41c | 701$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.59 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x053d…b168backed Mets | 61c | 640.48$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2582…478bbacked Orioles | 40c | 640.35$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72cf…69aebacked Mets | 7c | 628$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.96 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mets | 51c | 509.34$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.96 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…fc95backed Mets | 59c | 505.07$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Mets | 60c | 504.53$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.72 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Mets | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Orioles | 41c | 499.99$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.99 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…095cbacked Mets | 54c | 483.48$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.97 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Mets | 59c | 466.1$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…540fbacked Mets | 45c | 444.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Orioles | 45c | 435.68$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.96 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Mets | 5c | 430$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Mets | 58c | 421.06$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Mets | 3c | 410.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 45c | 405.23$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.61 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 40c | 385$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Mets | 5c | 358.57$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 58c | 354$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.74 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Mets | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 380 | 57.4%218 W · 162 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Mets | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Mets | 68c | 315.21$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.94 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mets | 56c | 305$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.87 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Mets | 56c | 304$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.82 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Mets | 71c | 303.13$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 94 | 48.9%46 W · 48 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3210…5c4ebacked Orioles | 49c | 300.16$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.08 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4884…9b0abacked Mets | 16c | 280$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.89 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Mets | 53c | 277.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.91 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Orioles | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b8…9272backed Mets | 54c | 258.74$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…6137backed Mets | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Mets | 57c | 243.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.69 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Orioles | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Mets | 68c | 237.84$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.61 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.