Champions League · resolved market
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x482cbe5250e837adeb112c1f8be9ee1aacc0b4fd6b9b97c612e9cc0cb9fb0674
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chelsea of Fluminense, Chelsea
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $435,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $473,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $435,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 254 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Chelsea | 74c | 60,561$44,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,745.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d1…4e28backed Chelsea | 75c | 43,730$32,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,932.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Fluminense | 25c | 37,983$9,496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,495.71 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Chelsea | 74c | 37,551$27,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,626.16 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Fluminense | 26c | 34,094$8,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,853.08 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Fluminense | 26c | 32,400$8,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,424 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Chelsea | 73c | 29,800$21,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,933.55 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Fluminense | 25c | 21,814$5,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,453.56 | 178 | 53.9%96 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…dbbcbacked Fluminense | 26c | 20,776$5,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,301.68 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Chelsea | 75c | 15,981$12,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,941.37 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Fluminense | 25c | 12,707$3,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,201.7 | 100 | 40%40 W · 60 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea4…476dbacked Chelsea | 75c | 11,943$8,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.79 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Fluminense | 27c | 9,667$2,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,610 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed Fluminense | 24c | 7,988$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.04 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4985…28bdbacked Fluminense | 25c | 7,848$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,962 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…2f22backed Fluminense | 1c | 7,777$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Fluminense | 5c | 6,327$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +157.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Fluminense | 15c | 6,320$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.59 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7d…430cbacked Chelsea | 75c | 5,739$4,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,462.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Chelsea | 75c | 4,996$3,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.79 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Fluminense | 8c | 4,033$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.62 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Fluminense | 5c | 3,891$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Chelsea | 77c | 3,882$2,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.07 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5327…3b80backed Fluminense | 26c | 3,846$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 65 | 27.7%18 W · 47 L | -8.3wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Fluminense | 26c | 3,050$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7e8…089dbacked Fluminense | 17c | 2,500$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Fluminense | 27c | 2,096$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.94 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Fluminense | 27c | 2,005$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Fluminense | 26c | 2,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Chelsea | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 55cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Fluminense | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Fluminense | 26c | 1,919$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b37…c06bbacked Fluminense | 11c | 1,883$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea6…cf94backed Fluminense | 26c | 1,572$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +34%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Fluminense | 25c | 1,422$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.42 | 181 | 60.8%110 W · 71 L | +18.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4541…b128backed Fluminense | 27c | 1,389$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Fluminense | 19c | 1,369$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.38 | 76 | 25%19 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…8586backed Fluminense | 12c | 1,330$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed Chelsea | 73c | 1,268$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.48 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Fluminense | 25c | 1,207$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.71 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb3…5e73backed Chelsea | 76c | 1,192$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Fluminense | 26c | 1,154$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c10…35dcbacked Chelsea | 75c | 1,146$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Chelsea | 78c | 1,092$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.73 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89a5…cd84backed Fluminense | 28c | 1,068$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Chelsea | 73c | 1,020$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.18 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Chelsea | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Chelsea | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 254 | 50%127 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ff…86f3backed Fluminense | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Fluminense | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Fluminense | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Chelsea | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 93 | 32.3%30 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Fluminense | 6c | 999.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Chelsea | 73c | 999.99$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Fluminense | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 123 | 30.1%37 W · 86 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x115e…1959backed Fluminense | 16c | 937.43$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d0…b6abbacked Fluminense | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…6865backed Chelsea | 75c | 867.19$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.8 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Chelsea | 75c | 860$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5481…461cbacked Fluminense | 9c | 850$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Chelsea | 76c | 800$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 206 | 67.5%139 W · 67 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…f137backed Fluminense | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2962…9ce0backed Fluminense | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f7…050bbacked Chelsea | 74c | 731.04$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Fluminense | 25c | 725.9$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.48 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x828f…fa80backed Fluminense | 28c | 709.58$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…4085backed Fluminense | 7c | 702.37$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Chelsea | 75c | 700$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…d67bbacked Fluminense | 10c | 675.3$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.53 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Chelsea | 74c | 673.77$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…6df7backed Fluminense | 9c | 600.87$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…95f6backed Fluminense | 9c | 599.98$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x048a…eb07backed Fluminense | 2c | 590$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Chelsea | 75c | 577.95$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.49 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6281…53afbacked Fluminense | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Chelsea | 75c | 540$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…b08fbacked Fluminense | 26c | 538.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Fluminense | 23c | 515.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Chelsea | 74c | 500.85$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Fluminense | 11c | 500$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa628…1943backed Fluminense | 25c | 500$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +172.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f1…3180backed Chelsea | 76c | 457.33$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…3beabacked Fluminense | 6c | 453.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429d…39a7backed Fluminense | 25c | 449.98$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Fluminense | 26c | 447.88$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8426…74e6backed Chelsea | 75c | 440$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Chelsea | 74c | 437.84$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Fluminense | 25c | 436.93$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.43 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Chelsea | 75c | 434.35$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.59 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -6.7wins | -0.19per pick | 65cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Fluminense | 29c | 421.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.25 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Chelsea | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Chelsea | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 264 | 43.9%116 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Fluminense | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664b…a286backed Fluminense | 26c | 400$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…0a90backed Fluminense | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe970…5893backed Fluminense | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72f7…a442backed Fluminense | 26c | 376.81$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcefc…a993backed Chelsea | 75c | 371.05$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.55 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5d…f2c1backed Fluminense | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Chelsea | 75c | 305.26$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 101 | 37.6%38 W · 63 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.