TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92eb…986a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
304
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Middle East, grading 61 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 61 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT3417.6%6 W · 28 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-74.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$72
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$157Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$157
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$434Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$434.5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$342Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$342.02
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.71
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Trump nominate David Malpass as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,944Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,944.12
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$49
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$393Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$393.1
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$1,140
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$185.84
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,555Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,555.4
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74
Will Powell say "Sorry" during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.7%+$44.39
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$59.43
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$9,415Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+43.4%+$4,085
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$826Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$826
Will Powell say "Sorry" during October press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+45.6%+$31.93
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$359Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$359
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-37.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$2,689Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$2,688.8
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$930
Will Sean McDermott win NFL Coach of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$72
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$400
Will the Ravens win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$167.62
Jets vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$34.5
Saints vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Bears vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+42.9%+$6.49
Will the Indianapolis Colts win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20.75
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Dolphins vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$38
Panthers vs. Saintsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Spread: Seahawks (-11.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+119.4%+$23.88
Colts vs. Seahawksbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Ravens vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$105.98
Bills vs. Texansbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$250
Falcons vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+87.5%+$25.17
Raiders vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+30%+$30.04
Chargers vs. Titansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$337Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+30.2%+$101.89
Buccaneers vs. Saintsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$98.51
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Browns vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$127.87
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3046.7%14 W · 16 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$20.6
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$75
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$50.95
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$40.38
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$106.67
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$270
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$120
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+33.3%+$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-01-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+65.8%+$78.98
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Will Chelsea FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$35
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$58.73
Will Fulham FC win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+55%+$13.75
Fulham FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+40.8%+$81.68
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$125
Will Manchester United win on 2025-08-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Fulham vs. Manchester United end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+270.4%+$73
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$581Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$580.99
Will New Zealand advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$139.57
Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$766Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$331.1
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$52
Will Tunisia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Nigeria vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Senegal win on 2026-01-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+66.7%+$66.67
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+85.2%+$85.19
Will Algeria win on 2026-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$112
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$47.37
Will Cameroon win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+62.2%+$48.2
Will Algeria win on 2025-12-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+76.8%+$103.7
Will Uganda win on 2025-12-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+34.1%+$32.4
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+114.6%+$132.93
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$44.75
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$68.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$30.16
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.67
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+59.1%+$68.54
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$55
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+37%+$36.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$75
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2025-11-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+156.4%+$253.73
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+63.9%+$63.93
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+29.9%+$30.33
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$144.83
Will Liverpool vs. Atletico Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Kairat Almaty vs. Celtic end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$33
Will Celtic win on 2025-08-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Benfica win on 2025-08-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$83.8
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+67.4%+$121.27
FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) backed Chelsea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$144.49
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$227.78
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.11
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.71
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.71
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.3%+$133.08
Over $10M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+25.2%+$12.58
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+44.9%+$134.78
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$175
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$73
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+75.5%+$88.13
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Over $225M committed to the Monad public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$13
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$355.41
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$403.14
Plasma >$8B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+157.3%+$629.1
Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$793Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+66.4%+$526.79
Plasma >$800M market cap (FDV) one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$8.33
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT1855.6%10 W · 8 L+4.1wins+0.23per pick33cpaid+94.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$402Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$234.4
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$313Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108%+$337.5
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$426Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$699
Will the US x Iran ceasefire be extended by April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$135.19
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$264
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+83.2%+$136.2
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+124.7%+$221.99
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$1,547.99
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$64
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$474Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+317.5%+$1,505.7
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT+25.6%+$178.9
Iran strike on Israel in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$86
All 18 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1560%9 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+58.7%+$554.99
Will more than 2.8 million people travel through a TSA checkpoint on any day by November 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+122.2%+$115.79
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,617Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+81.7%+$1,321.76
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$120.6
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+135.1%+$202.6
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$245
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Fascism" or "Fascist" during his victory/concession speech?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+34.3%+$84.49
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+109%+$413.16
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+70.9%+$24.9
US government shutdown by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$170
Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+123.3%+$246.55
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2025, EST-100%-$426.91
All 15 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$1,000
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+88.2%+$245.1
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+57%+$42.74
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$131.67
Cardinals vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$357
Cubs vs. Redsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$234.99
Phillies vs. Dodgersbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$12.01
Twins vs. White Soxbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.3
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Blue Jays vs. Oriolesbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$430
Dodgers vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick32cpaid+42%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,715Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$1,004.14
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Kentucky Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$839.97
Kennesaw State Owls vs. Gonzaga Bulldogsbacked Kennesaw State Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Penn Quakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Texas A&M Aggies vs. Saint Mary's Gaelsbacked Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,192Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+150%+$1,788.52
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,680Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$2,319.92
North Dakota State Bison vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked North Dakota State Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodoresbacked McNeese State Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,640Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$1,360
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgersbacked High Point Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,620
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Troy Trojans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$220
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,080Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$2,920
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,024Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,024
All 13 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$245
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$272
Will Ricardo Belmont win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$174
Will PLC win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$86
Will Seguro win Portugal's Overseas Vote?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$208
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,943Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,942.84
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,072Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+44.7%+$4,051.01
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$201
Will Rubén Costas win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+106.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick33cpaid-78.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 16, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-57.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2025-11-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Porto win on 2025-12-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+35.1%+$8.78
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+116.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA say "Taiwan" during earnings call?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+116.6%+$100.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NYC have less than 3 inches of precipitation in December?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+111%+$277.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$29.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during Xi events on October 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$126
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.