MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x50682f304ad306c3db9b11f9c2232838974bcad5cf8c82d9cb44ee4948a0d5e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $133,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $133,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ee1…dae8backed Brewers | 59c | 75,000$44,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,250 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +6.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 41c | 70,665$28,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,692.35 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Marlins | 40c | 5,719$2,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,431.27 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Brewers | 9c | 5,580$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Brewers | 59c | 5,000$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.99 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 41c | 4,314$1,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.26 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Brewers | 59c | 4,242$2,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,502.57 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 51c | 3,333$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,630.97 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Marlins | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Brewers | 60c | 2,300$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Marlins | 41c | 2,200$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,298 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Marlins | 43c | 1,947$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.56 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Brewers | 59c | 1,667$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.3 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 59c | 1,177$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.24 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Brewers | 58c | 1,165$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.51 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 36c | 1,136$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.82 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Brewers | 1c | 1,135$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Brewers | 35c | 1,054$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.78 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Brewers | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…d8b9backed Brewers | 60c | 732.27$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.36 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Brewers | 60c | 680$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Brewers | 26c | 674.67$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.76 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Brewers | 60c | 666.67$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 41c | 664$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.76 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Marlins | 59c | 637.93$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.66 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Marlins | 40c | 576.15$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.69 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Brewers | 20c | 532.74$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.64 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Marlins | 41c | 521$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.39 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Brewers | 70c | 500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Brewers | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…337fbacked Marlins | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.8 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca38…460bbacked Brewers | 34c | 400$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.5 | 340 | 51.2%174 W · 166 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…f330backed Brewers | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 146 | 49.3%72 W · 74 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Marlins | 52c | 383.91$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.01 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Marlins | 41c | 370$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Brewers | 46c | 350$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.19 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41e…d27dbacked Brewers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Brewers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2719…28ddbacked Marlins | 42c | 289.97$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.68 | 253 | 64.4%163 W · 90 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Brewers | 23c | 260.87$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 40c | 250.21$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.34 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Brewers | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 40c | 249.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.98 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Marlins | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Brewers | 60c | 243.33$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Marlins | 55c | 238.41$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.4 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Marlins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Marlins | 43c | 219.82$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.17 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Marlins | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 249 | 51.8%129 W · 120 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…9d12backed Marlins | 41c | 190$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.1 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8485…c13ebacked Marlins | 42c | 171$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Brewers | 60c | 167.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdc…15cabacked Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Marlins | 41c | 162$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb5…da2cbacked Brewers | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd3…1174backed Brewers | 55c | 155.07$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.69 | 190 | 52.6%100 W · 90 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Brewers | 59c | 152$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.28 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Brewers | 59c | 136$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.24 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc655…8467backed Marlins | 40c | 133$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f6…b00bbacked Brewers | 77c | 130.56$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.53 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Brewers | 60c | 121.67$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Marlins | 32c | 121$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.28 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Marlins | 41c | 118$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Marlins | 40c | 115.97$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.05 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82b9…3e7ebacked Brewers | 60c | 115.5$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Brewers | 46c | 101.83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2a8…8466backed Brewers | 59c | 100$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Brewers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Marlins | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1e…7becbacked Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…1fa1backed Brewers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c4…25e7backed Marlins | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Marlins | 40c | 100$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…d9d7backed Brewers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…2c62backed Brewers | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa68…b44bbacked Marlins | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +120%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…0f19backed Marlins | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Marlins | 41c | 97.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.56 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15a…6df2backed Marlins | 72c | 83.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x534e…ecfebacked Brewers | 52c | 81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 274 | 58.8%161 W · 113 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed Brewers | 52c | 80.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 128 | 68%87 W · 41 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2c…284cbacked Marlins | 56c | 75.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Marlins | 40c | 75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe259…b890backed Brewers | 49c | 65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.85 | 161 | 62.1%100 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…3237backed Marlins | 40c | 63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Marlins | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…c9c1backed Marlins | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Marlins | 56c | 58.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Marlins | 44c | 58.36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Brewers | 60c | 58.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,299 | 56.7%737 W · 562 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 73c | 57.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…52acbacked Marlins | 41c | 52.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 42cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…af8abacked Brewers | 60c | 51.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5930…f3fdbacked Marlins | 41c | 51.22$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…40a4backed Marlins | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ce…9743backed Marlins | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.