Token Launches · resolved market
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5bbe53716a3546e876a75185d85c6d6f42c0776bfac5dede60fdc23f775f151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $260,003
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $202,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,003 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dee…5297backed Yes | 3c | 47,877$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed Yes | 3c | 18,505$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.45 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ee…d720backed Yes | 1c | 16,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61a…3d71backed Yes | 10c | 10,082$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378b…caffbacked Yes | 1c | 7,000$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c8…1c42backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe71…21d4backed Yes | 1c | 4,685$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02d…2935backed Yes | 26c | 4,109$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,064.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…73e3backed No | 75c | 3,516$2,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.98 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250c…2774backed Yes | 1c | 3,100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 142 | 4.2%6 W · 136 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb80…8a0fbacked Yes | 14c | 3,046$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 2,969$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.82 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d0…af08backed Yes | 20c | 2,750$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.39 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 2c | 2,639$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 233 | 3.4%8 W · 225 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d32…563abacked Yes | 2c | 2,600$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes | 1c | 2,569$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 18c | 2,362$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.16 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386a…f99fbacked Yes | 1c | 2,326$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 2c | 2,250$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.65 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x185f…3649backed Yes | 1c | 2,094$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9763…9eafbacked Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0d…7ac6backed Yes | 23c | 1,717$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…0720backed No | 76c | 1,649$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.47 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a4…a4babacked Yes | 1c | 1,612$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed Yes | 18c | 1,547$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.14 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf808…6e99backed Yes | 22c | 1,510$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3436…419ebacked Yes | 7c | 1,480$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,429$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.16 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 76c | 1,275$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.25 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8590…f9c6backed Yes | 15c | 1,041$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…64c3backed Yes | 18c | 1,032$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.96 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc6…a873backed Yes | 1c | 1,025$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb95…4dc7backed Yes | 17c | 939.75$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9728…0314backed Yes | 17c | 868$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 3c | 779.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa34…66fbbacked Yes | 3c | 774.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d0…3fbebacked Yes | 13c | 761.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11d3…7471backed Yes | 16c | 699.99$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +405.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059c…a970backed Yes | 16c | 606.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 6c | 558.25$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 244 | 2%5 W · 239 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8767backed Yes | 19c | 558.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1dc…5460backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…edf7backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 6c | 500$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…06f1backed Yes | 54c | 486.5$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51a7…6374backed Yes | 4c | 428.03$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92eb…986abacked Yes | 17c | 408.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 9c | 396$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.88 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da9…3710backed No | 62c | 302.64$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.64 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 78c | 299.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed Yes | 13c | 290.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…82f8backed Yes | 16c | 284.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6330…dda9backed Yes | 15c | 258.4$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…7788backed Yes | 33c | 257.55$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.97 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 241.73$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a97…1f4bbacked Yes | 9c | 234.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -67%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fcc…c98cbacked Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b6…3817backed Yes | 14c | 214.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 76c | 206.57$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.58 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…93c8backed No | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 8c | 200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 123 | 4.1%5 W · 118 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked Yes | 18c | 183.94$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c09…639dbacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…9147backed Yes | 17c | 142.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 16c | 142.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1127…6776backed Yes | 10c | 136.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 9c | 123.47$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 124 | 3.2%4 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…d7c5backed No | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…8b9ebacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…f8a5backed No | 77c | 113.04$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c6…d823backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 15c | 106.24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…29f2backed Yes | 28c | 106$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…287fbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…e7e6backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0676…3b27backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba45…87f3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…223ebacked Yes | 18c | 97.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 99 | 14.1%14 W · 85 L | -8.1wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa601…cad0backed Yes | 17c | 90.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -78%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26db…7abcbacked Yes | 23c | 87.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…cf97backed Yes | 19c | 85.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 72 | 15.3%11 W · 61 L | -17.0wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb1…adc4backed Yes | 24c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8edf…eae8backed No | 79c | 74.05$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e99…a10cbacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2040…70f4backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fcd…1beebacked No | 78c | 60.52$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05fd…50c9backed No | 76c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +30%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 22c | 59.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f1…955abacked Yes | 20c | 58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f75…550abacked Yes | 19c | 54.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…3983backed No | 79c | 52.34$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…3d01backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc1…50dbbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f1…c900backed Yes | 23c | 42.76$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0266…e0dfbacked No | 79c | 38.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?this page
- Hyperlend FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Hyperlend FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes won
- Hyperlend FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.