TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x05c6…d823

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
178
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst Venezuela at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT6959.4%41 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 69 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$26.67
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$5,694Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,694.45
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.5%+$47
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.41
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,835Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$1,171.17
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.64
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.03
Showing 25 of 69 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$26.19
US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10,080Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3,920
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,328Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,328
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$365.24
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$508
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+51.5%+$10.3
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.83
All 21 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$14.1
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+72.5%+$36.27
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+119.7%+$23.95
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,005Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+49.5%+$991.97
Sentient FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+100%+$24.08
Seeker FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+25%+$25
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$5,087Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+40.6%+$2,065.91
Stable FDV above $4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Kinetiq FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.55
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 6, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Andalusia Election: PP Absolute Majority?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Union Progressiste pour le Renouveau (UPR) win the most seats in the 2026 Benin parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+49.3%+$7.39
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+122.7%+$18.41
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+51.5%+$10.3
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick16cpaid-15.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,256Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,256
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$6,107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$30,905.5
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$4,146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,146
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$6,329Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,329
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$3,552Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,552
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$3,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,144.07
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$1,406Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,406
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$2,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,072
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$7.31
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick66cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Dec 12, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-49.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-49%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-67.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-33.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick69cpaid-60.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+278.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Los Ratones (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+61.3%+$12.26
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Oct 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+47.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 October 20-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$38.82
Will Bitcoin reach $115K in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$94.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+35.1%+$5.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Democratic sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25%+$3.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Duke win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.19ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ohio State win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$3,008Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,008.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.