Music · resolved market
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6680cae9b37261f6c1ec3313f9ad175708bb9722e94285b5b0a5b50a9972d312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,354,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,055,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,354,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,576 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 5c | 124,219$6,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,481.19 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d7…b035backed Yes | 5c | 123,844$6,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,791.96 | 148 | 35.8%53 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes | 6c | 95,790$5,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,341.24 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Yes | 22c | 91,202$19,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,762.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 5c | 89,000$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.34 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x485a…21cbbacked Yes | 5c | 63,677$3,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,326.29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Yes | 6c | 57,492$3,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,575.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb9…bb3cbacked Yes | 5c | 53,582$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0462…cddebacked Yes | 8c | 50,000$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 6c | 48,905$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,707.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes | 15c | 44,263$6,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,474.26 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -75.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b17…51b1backed Yes | 5c | 43,610$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,313.63 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +231.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 4c | 39,976$1,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,627.71 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes | 5c | 36,484$1,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,646.4 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 5c | 33,673$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.88 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 19c | 33,252$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180.61 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…8f61backed Yes | 10c | 32,710$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 30,631$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.24 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ad…4953backed Yes | 5c | 29,754$1,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,522.32 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +7.8wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…9919backed Yes | 6c | 28,000$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,702.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 8c | 27,252$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.29 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5571…0346backed Yes | 5c | 26,731$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.98 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 45cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…d6c6backed Yes | 7c | 26,468$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6c…c594backed Yes | 7c | 25,624$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 25,165$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.2 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf3…6077backed Yes | 5c | 24,860$1,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,324.01 | 102 | 35.3%36 W · 66 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 5c | 24,022$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146.23 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 6c | 24,015$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.99 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Yes | 8c | 21,512$1,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701.88 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 5c | 20,200$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.49 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6223…ee25backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +38%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 4c | 19,984$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.41 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed Yes | 7c | 19,154$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,426.27 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…550dbacked Yes | 8c | 18,393$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…68bcbacked Yes | 21c | 18,269$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,786.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 18,013$908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.85 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 17,426$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.83 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Yes | 6c | 16,719$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.72 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c1…f4acbacked Yes | 4c | 16,666$641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.07 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b6…aa2fbacked Yes | 4c | 16,552$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.31 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +276.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8903…0dc2backed Yes | 4c | 16,521$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…3fd2backed Yes | 7c | 16,397$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +134.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 6c | 16,014$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.25 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc903…ed01backed Yes | 4c | 15,415$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.93 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x410b…cf55backed Yes | 7c | 15,371$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.92 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac9a…2927backed Yes | 11c | 15,097$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes | 4c | 15,026$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.42 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 4c | 14,729$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.06 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +530.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…22f9backed Yes | 6c | 14,588$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.93 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af7…2381backed Yes | 7c | 14,199$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.19 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 9cpaid | +313.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696b…d72ebacked Yes | 7c | 14,165$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc64b…516dbacked Yes | 5c | 13,918$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$647.68 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +817.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 7c | 13,905$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.06 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…2184backed Yes | 16c | 13,380$2,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,140.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3199…fdf3backed Yes | 4c | 13,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed Yes | 6c | 12,650$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.73 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20f7…5527backed Yes | 6c | 12,500$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.49 | 58 | 19%11 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e0e…abc7backed Yes | 6c | 12,411$731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b7…d5f3backed Yes | 4c | 11,351$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.9 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bfe…c44dbacked Yes | 7c | 11,324$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.49 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…3bd8backed Yes | 5c | 11,235$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Yes | 10c | 11,206$1,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f97…5711backed Yes | 6c | 11,184$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84e3…572fbacked Yes | 6c | 11,138$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9906…c0aebacked Yes | 5c | 11,054$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…d5bebacked Yes | 2c | 10,679$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Yes | 11c | 10,665$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa1…1fa9backed Yes | 16c | 10,661$1,668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,668.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9725backed Yes | 5c | 10,466$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 5c | 10,175$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8137…34f1backed Yes | 0c | 10,149$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd48…2ce1backed Yes | 5c | 10,125$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43bf…c53abacked Yes | 5c | 10,101$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.38 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b49…70aabacked Yes | 6c | 10,066$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…fd88backed Yes | 5c | 10,019$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48c1…d2cdbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…4f5bbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 14cpaid | +187%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd519…932cbacked Yes | 5c | 10,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…49e7backed Yes | 5c | 9,888$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.95 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…8354backed Yes | 7c | 9,664$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.72 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3757…ff7fbacked Yes | 6c | 9,579$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ab…b2e8backed Yes | 6c | 9,393$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.72 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40fe…aa56backed Yes | 6c | 9,281$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…e040backed Yes | 9c | 8,966$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.4 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 4c | 8,962$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.22 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +1,037.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 4c | 8,850$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.49 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 22cpaid | -90.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 16c | 8,834$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.85 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 22c | 8,834$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.68 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x211e…35ddbacked No | 75c | 8,791$6,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,154.43 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8102…53f2backed Yes | 7c | 8,768$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…45fbbacked Yes | 15c | 8,538$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.3 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 8c | 8,173$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 5c | 8,142$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.41 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 4c | 8,078$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.12 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x293f…26a1backed Yes | 6c | 8,037$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5715…1616backed Yes | 12c | 7,906$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f80…2804backed Yes | 8c | 7,715$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.17 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +59.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2365…4bfbbacked Yes | 7c | 7,659$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.42per pick | 29cpaid | +265%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcce7…6b90backed Yes | 8c | 7,484$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +255.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d25…5529backed Yes | 4c | 7,275$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.