TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$4,428,777
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,091,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,428,777 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf031…c80cbacked Yes0c221,341$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.11540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-34.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18ea…f348backed Yes1c187,346$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.87120%0 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes1c173,842$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,557.914315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes2c171,553$2,975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,975.38214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-89.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes2c148,706$2,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.77425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Yes1c144,321$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,689.161225%3 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-62%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes1c139,450$1,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,433.538122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c138,309$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.277416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cff…eeb8backed Yes1c133,111$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.4440%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes0c101,088$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.261414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick21cpaid-0.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fd…4272backed Yes1c98,298$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.1922927.9%64 W · 165 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c85,183$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.39651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed Yes1c71,572$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.28166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+134.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Yes0c64,919$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.68366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x786a…94a7backed Yes1c51,541$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665.65195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+247.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes1c49,676$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.083212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+255.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes1c40,731$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.27323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9337…a410backed Yes2c39,020$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.21277.4%2 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+296.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c32,908$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.981478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Yes1c27,719$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.2690%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes0c26,426$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.455111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes1c25,894$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.8816334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes1c25,757$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.82254%1 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-91.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…ead3backed Yes1c25,666$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8fe…3ee3backed Yes1c22,778$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.1714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-73.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes2c19,937$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.64012.5%5 W · 35 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-73.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Yes1c17,592$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.5210630.2%32 W · 74 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes3c17,141$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.726334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes1c15,298$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.87695.8%4 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0336…4bb0backed Yes1c14,595$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.364531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-39.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5197…0ce6backed Yes1c13,053$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2c8…5471backed Yes1c12,934$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6390%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0ab3backed Yes1c12,816$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36e2…61e5backed Yes1c12,530$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes1c11,575$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0415119.2%29 W · 122 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick21cpaid+48.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa454…a549backed Yes1c10,833$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6550%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb1…aabebacked Yes0c10,708$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f42…205bbacked Yes1c10,197$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13d9…ec6bbacked Yes1c10,196$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.5510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ebf…be34backed Yes1c10,122$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x943f…43a7backed Yes1c10,090$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+412.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes1c10,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2414835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100561.8%1 W · 55 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick1cpaid+48.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdedd…2eeebacked Yes2c9,913$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd03c…1b34backed Yes1c9,619$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.6810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa277…ea05backed Yes0c9,536$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick8cpaid-6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes2c9,480$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.71673%2 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes2c9,432$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.941074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes2c9,307$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.555320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45df…5b27backed Yes1c9,189$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.62616.7%1 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick1cpaid+1,566.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes1c8,924$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4664.5%3 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Yes3c8,439$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.82475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+27%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x281a…1d2fbacked Yes1c7,515$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-62.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5f6…adc3backed Yes1c7,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7540%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a09…0c4fbacked Yes1c7,125$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc173…b6e5backed Yes2c7,111$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-52.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x410b…cf55backed Yes3c7,052$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.1119.1%1 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid+83.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc126…df8fbacked Yes0c6,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes2c6,667$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes2c6,667$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick1cpaid+1,415.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c89…58a5backed Yes1c6,547$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.8320%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d71…b885backed Yes1c5,075$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c5,068$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.53407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick12cpaid+345.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes1c5,033$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59210%0 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c8c…3eb2backed Yes1c5,001$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da5…418cbacked Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa67…d9d6backed Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dbf…27bbbacked Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8390…7ffdbacked Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1af0…49a8backed Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92da…f417backed Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2849…d0b8backed Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9116…dddfbacked Yes1c5,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9720…afa4backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d8c…3fa2backed Yes1c4,850$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e7f…2d2dbacked Yes1c4,600$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.6812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick5cpaid+1,685.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6f5…512fbacked Yes1c4,505$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.0630%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe82…59d9backed Yes1c4,294$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes2c4,185$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8653…7f61backed Yes2c4,180$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5256…304cbacked Yes1c4,167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5080%0 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…1b74backed Yes0c4,124$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.941010%1 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid+44.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c87…b46bbacked Yes1c4,001$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.0120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes2c3,996$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.91250%6 W · 6 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+143.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb2ee…9bdcbacked Yes1c3,983$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.671315.4%2 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-75.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2415…bee9backed Yes1c3,896$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd82d…3bcdbacked Yes0c3,750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc64b…516dbacked Yes1c3,681$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+817.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes2c3,654$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.8810235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eef…ea10backed Yes1c3,590$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes2c3,565$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.08333%1 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-44.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes2c3,476$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.654330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+173.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f80…2804backed Yes3c3,395$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.932917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc004…849bbacked Yes1c3,333$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed Yes2c3,328$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.3240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe26a…1c5abacked Yes1c3,319$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf24…7d4abacked Yes3c3,280$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2f5…137ebacked Yes1c3,164$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.38728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+146%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb9…996bbacked Yes1c3,150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a48…497ebacked Yes2c3,128$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L+4.1wins+0.24per pick11cpaid+136.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.