Music · resolved market
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffb1ee3a720ba2499f4f3b24e1bceadb57b005904f2542d2c2a00c887db46330
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,629,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,529,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,629,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 630,173$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,572.74 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 0c | 349,992$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.97 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +255.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked Yes | 0c | 297,460$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.46 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 0c | 191,029$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.34 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 1c | 142,692$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.29 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 99,951$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa1…d9b7backed Yes | 0c | 98,770$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ff…ba79backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76d8…0486backed Yes | 0c | 47,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 43,916$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 0c | 42,219$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.38 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 39,999$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 1c | 38,954$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.72 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 0c | 38,816$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 1c | 37,099$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.8 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x454c…bd22backed Yes | 1c | 34,218$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.53 | 46 | 8.7%4 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcecf…e206backed Yes | 0c | 25,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes | 0c | 25,833$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 1cpaid | +1,415.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x786a…94a7backed Yes | 1c | 25,160$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.43 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 3cpaid | +247.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe4…dd93backed Yes | 0c | 22,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 1c | 20,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf605…231fbacked Yes | 0c | 18,846$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…722bbacked Yes | 0c | 18,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…8527backed Yes | 0c | 17,895$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9d2…fb68backed Yes | 0c | 15,506$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 15,115$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.4 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 14,950$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe607…91fcbacked Yes | 0c | 14,320$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15b0…78f7backed Yes | 1c | 14,092$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…45d7backed Yes | 1c | 13,081$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.56 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9612…205abacked Yes | 1c | 13,000$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…f106backed Yes | 0c | 12,810$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfc…4516backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…8ba3backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…3a40backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c5…d2a3backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 10,525$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed Yes | 1c | 10,394$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +738.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…615abacked Yes | 3c | 10,361$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 13cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…62b2backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…5921backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9b…9227backed Yes | 1c | 10,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74a2…564cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | -23%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…6620backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 1c | 9,868$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 1c | 9,482$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaff…87e3backed Yes | 1c | 9,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9326…594ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,753$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 6,750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa7e…f37ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,666$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ea…ba53backed Yes | 1c | 6,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7534…c561backed Yes | 1c | 5,975$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…b148backed Yes | 1c | 5,954$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 5,750$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 5,105$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…378cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,080$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,039$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +1,487.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0114…fbfabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0259…33c9backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf883…115cbacked Yes | 1c | 4,958$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 4,750$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes | 1c | 4,700$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa88d…9830backed Yes | 0c | 4,622$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 1cpaid | +1,134.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 0c | 4,172$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed Yes | 1c | 4,036$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 4,022$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.27 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…7b37backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb4…4e22backed Yes | 1c | 4,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 25cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 1c | 3,980$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 3,750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 1c | 3,633$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.53 | 66 | 4.5%3 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 3,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,384$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…ecadbacked Yes | 1c | 3,200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a10…63d3backed Yes | 1c | 3,162$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 1c | 3,138$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 50 | 4%2 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde48…30e7backed Yes | 2c | 3,096$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…a05abacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad10…6347backed Yes | 1c | 2,994$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7072…69acbacked Yes | 1c | 2,884$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…15f9backed Yes | 1c | 2,843$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdb…83cabacked Yes | 0c | 2,700$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe920…3a14backed Yes | 0c | 2,603$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…dfa0backed Yes | 0c | 2,600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd7…047abacked Yes | 1c | 2,343$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -75.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 2,337$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.34 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes | 1c | 2,203$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5647…de1dbacked Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1463…ce78backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe29f…b2f0backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.