TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Music · resolved market

Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,523,122
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,477,871

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,523,122 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Music
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x202d…c3b1backed Yes0c450,241$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb886…81b3backed Yes1c154,436$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.5314315.4%22 W · 121 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+353%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99e9…5394backed Yes1c136,818$1,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.4350%0 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed Yes1c127,678$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.63214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick7cpaid-89.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7072…69acbacked Yes1c123,998$1,787 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.36210%0 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x454c…bd22backed Yes1c94,357$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.61468.7%4 W · 42 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid+96.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf301…ab26backed Yes2c83,536$1,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,49660%0 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Yes1c70,190$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.937425.7%19 W · 55 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b17…51b1backed Yes1c59,614$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.767416.2%12 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick17cpaid+231.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes0c58,400$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6651.5%1 W · 64 L+0.1wins0.00per pick1cpaid-65.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf071…5a56backed Yes2c53,725$949 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94930%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d8b…1fb1backed Yes1c52,240$383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.4330%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6f…9b55backed Yes1c44,349$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.72520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-72.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x654a…c304backed Yes0c38,956$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick13cpaid+16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe7b…974fbacked Yes2c38,375$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.39120%0 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c37,400$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.91478.2%12 W · 135 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick4cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed Yes2c37,169$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.938122.2%18 W · 63 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+75%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9739…159fbacked Yes1c35,359$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.07263.8%1 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick1cpaid+451.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa454…a549backed Yes0c33,333$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49b6…170cbacked Yes1c31,263$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.827723.4%18 W · 59 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde6…e8b5backed Yes1c30,876$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.634012.5%5 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x087b…713ebacked Yes0c25,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x18ea…f348backed Yes2c25,000$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465120%0 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xcce7…6b90backed Yes0c24,796$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001540%6 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.15per pick25cpaid+255.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes1c23,820$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.245111.8%6 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick6cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x786a…94a7backed Yes1c23,099$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.41195.3%1 W · 18 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick3cpaid+247.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73af…b880backed Yes1c22,837$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.091855.6%10 W · 8 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes1c22,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200260%0 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa445…0286backed Yes0c22,205$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.86254%1 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-91.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb64…f3a1backed Yes1c21,080$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166417.3%3 W · 38 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick6cpaid-79.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecde…c846backed Yes1c21,016$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.655030%15 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…8fbcbacked Yes1c20,000$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick1cpaid+1,415.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec5e…3d71backed Yes1c17,701$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.63928.2%11 W · 28 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick20cpaid+345.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…45fbbacked Yes1c17,000$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1279335.5%33 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be2…9919backed Yes0c16,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick18cpaid-15.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb046…857cbacked Yes4c15,305$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.96334.9%22 W · 41 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04d7…b035backed Yes1c14,848$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8714835.8%53 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick30cpaid-10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f80…2804backed Yes2c14,407$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.482917.2%5 W · 24 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes1c12,968$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0716334.4%56 W · 107 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick37cpaid+29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Yes1c12,897$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.083212.5%4 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+255.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcecf…e206backed Yes1c12,678$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100110%0 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x60fd…89a9backed Yes1c12,074$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.22695.8%4 W · 65 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+148.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20f7…5527backed Yes1c12,000$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655819%11 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-24.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb807…99cbbacked Yes0c11,000$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271711.8%2 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick8cpaid-74.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes1c10,845$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.5323.1%1 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x517b…fe53backed Yes1c10,056$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.3911.1%1 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick1cpaid+1,766.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8195…7eedbacked Yes1c10,026$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.45250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick5cpaid+486.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes1c9,996$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.39185.6%1 W · 17 L0.0wins0.00per pick5cpaid+530.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes1c9,575$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.13673%2 W · 65 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x564f…7034backed Yes1c9,153$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.07283.6%1 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes1c9,033$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.97664.5%3 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+31.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf76f…df4fbacked Yes1c9,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.61166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-89.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xabf7…9820backed Yes1c8,670$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60352.9%1 W · 34 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick5cpaid-61.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes1c8,662$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes1c8,444$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.281074.7%5 W · 102 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c5…923dbacked Yes1c8,409$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115229.1%2 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick20cpaid-62.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x88cb…ab72backed Yes1c8,333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick10cpaid+166.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d5c…f7e9backed Yes1c8,304$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8060%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccc1…b2b3backed Yes5c8,051$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3981030%3 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x81e9…1812backed Yes1c7,650$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.154835.4%17 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-21.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa5ba…0db1backed Yes1c7,286$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.272810.7%3 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+174.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac20…cda9backed Yes1c6,802$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.2690%0 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x943f…43a7backed Yes2c6,630$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100175.9%1 W · 16 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick1cpaid+412.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes2c6,451$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.0510235.3%36 W · 66 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes1c6,161$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.044526.7%12 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+191.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fdf…4452backed Yes1c6,136$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a08…2e25backed Yes2c5,952$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.227626.3%20 W · 56 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick22cpaid+32.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes2c5,873$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.68533.8%2 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+41.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fd5…63ebbacked Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e54…b059backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf584…2497backed Yes0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a4c…5ff7backed Yes1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50160%0 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd897…b20dbacked Yes0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x772c…0151backed Yes1c5,000$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55287.1%2 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick11cpaid+227%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes1c4,963$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.584330.2%13 W · 30 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+173.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked Yes1c4,906$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.7290%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…bb84backed Yes1c4,750$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.831816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+323%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes1c4,696$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.41407.5%3 W · 37 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick12cpaid+345.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ee1…9801backed Yes1c4,500$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.55320.8%11 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1658…3f2bbacked Yes0c4,418$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.17425%1 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick2cpaid+257.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1f…9babbacked Yes0c4,350$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…7af9backed Yes1c4,347$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56119.1%1 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick3cpaid+457.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ddb…9ffabacked Yes1c4,290$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.99214.8%1 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick5cpaid+73.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcda9…333cbacked Yes1c4,222$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.2210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d2…7333backed Yes1c4,176$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2650%0 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ee1…d5bfbacked Yes1c4,115$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4398…cfebbacked Yes1c4,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick3cpaid+144.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe82…5c81backed Yes1c4,000$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.339333.3%31 W · 62 L+10.8wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+76%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf294…7967backed Yes1c3,994$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.932718.5%5 W · 22 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick24cpaid-2.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb13…0bc7backed Yes1c3,888$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8810%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes2c3,827$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.14504%2 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick8cpaid-50.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa835…e189backed Yes0c3,750$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac6…11f7backed Yes1c3,700$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2521…53e8backed Yes1c3,655$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf968…84bdbacked Yes1c3,500$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.54928.6%14 W · 35 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+41.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde48…30e7backed Yes2c3,446$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.23333%1 W · 32 L+0.1wins0.00per pick3cpaid-44.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c37…d40fbacked Yes1c3,265$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.32224.5%1 W · 21 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+247.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bf…c7acbacked Yes1c3,177$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.416926.1%18 W · 51 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+136.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x481a…8ee4backed Yes1c3,158$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.32812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick2cpaid+1,049.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x78ae…7412backed Yes0c3,156$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.73911.1%1 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick0cpaid+1,986.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.