Music · resolved market
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c26c71732b00f7e967903079ab24166a4fa2be62012a8ce4393e79b26cdaa7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,390,985
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,107,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,390,985 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 152 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 0c | 799,150$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.47 | 143 | 15.4%22 W · 121 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | +353%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e9…88e5backed Yes | 0c | 632,584$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.58 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdeac…0216backed Yes | 0c | 431,588$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee27…c5e2backed Yes | 0c | 213,462$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 0c | 206,258$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.11 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79c0…eb65backed Yes | 1c | 182,444$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 0c | 176,457$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.46 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -89.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 0c | 168,624$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.5 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 0c | 153,854$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.71 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 6cpaid | +132.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa454…a549backed Yes | 0c | 135,310$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 124,561$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.68 | 65 | 1.5%1 W · 64 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3560…7585backed Yes | 0c | 123,794$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 0c | 103,450$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 147 | 8.2%12 W · 135 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 4cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b46…1263backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…0effbacked Yes | 0c | 99,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36b…7804backed Yes | 0c | 94,720$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.16 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6c…c594backed Yes | 0c | 89,999$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06c…0861backed Yes | 0c | 63,501$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.35 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 2cpaid | +846.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb261…7211backed Yes | 0c | 61,999$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +272%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x523a…8e28backed Yes | 0c | 58,948$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.84 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 15cpaid | -92.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4089…99d5backed Yes | 0c | 51,833$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…ad5abacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9abd…f67bbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa445…0286backed Yes | 0c | 47,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 25 | 4%1 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -91.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…aad0backed Yes | 0c | 44,836$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d50…b166backed Yes | 0c | 37,795$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.51 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42fc…4927backed Yes | 1c | 32,457$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 0c | 31,484$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 81 | 22.2%18 W · 63 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +75%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff04…d971backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…7412backed Yes | 0c | 26,013$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.77 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 0cpaid | +1,986.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +412.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…b3a9backed Yes | 0c | 24,675$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8943…3be1backed Yes | 0c | 23,380$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +414.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f24…a7fcbacked Yes | 0c | 20,739$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.81 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 9cpaid | +446.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4143…d67dbacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 5cpaid | +224.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe82…5c81backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 33.3%31 W · 62 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | +76%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc30c…b4cabacked Yes | 0c | 19,837$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…c0f4backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Yes | 0c | 17,500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +296.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f88…b10ebacked Yes | 1c | 16,622$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 15 | 0%0 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7c…1d18backed Yes | 0c | 16,229$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2d…f77fbacked Yes | 0c | 15,045$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.09 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a42…fab9backed Yes | 0c | 15,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 3cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…efeabacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…4f31backed Yes | 0c | 14,380$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 0c | 13,224$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 58 | 3.4%2 W · 56 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +202.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889f…a034backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7022…dfa0backed Yes | 0c | 12,451$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…7034backed Yes | 1c | 10,570$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.42 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9677…075bbacked Yes | 1c | 10,200$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21e5…fc52backed Yes | 1c | 10,180$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…03acbacked Yes | 0c | 10,070$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabf7…9820backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…78a4backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +211.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…4ef4backed Yes | 0c | 9,550$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfa…b205backed Yes | 0c | 9,300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a87…c533backed Yes | 1c | 9,158$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.7 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7243…83f0backed Yes | 0c | 9,052$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5581…6376backed Yes | 0c | 9,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 0c | 8,800$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 1cpaid | +451.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4134…f72dbacked Yes | 0c | 8,083$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…169bbacked Yes | 0c | 8,050$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76b8…4c9cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,037$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.65 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +191.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0e…a701backed Yes | 0c | 7,805$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eda…1c80backed Yes | 0c | 7,600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c5…1127backed Yes | 0c | 7,600$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x857f…039fbacked Yes | 0c | 7,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9036…8b02backed Yes | 0c | 7,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…7061backed Yes | 0c | 7,350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…8b90backed Yes | 0c | 7,350$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.3 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c3…9089backed Yes | 0c | 7,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf169…2005backed Yes | 0c | 7,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a7b…782fbacked Yes | 0c | 6,793$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 6,425$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 229 | 27.9%64 W · 165 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500b…17c5backed Yes | 0c | 6,350$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f1…80f2backed Yes | 0c | 6,250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | +152.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3441…3283backed Yes | 0c | 6,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…2357backed Yes | 0c | 6,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…5633backed Yes | 0c | 5,833$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e7d…1a3fbacked Yes | 0c | 5,800$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa30a…4550backed Yes | 0c | 5,750$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b76…3a40backed Yes | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x894e…c9d5backed Yes | 0c | 5,203$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 0c | 5,110$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 65 | 20%13 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f8d…0002backed Yes | 0c | 5,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc157…728cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 1cpaid | +1,487.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…62b2backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…c820backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…06e1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +92.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c6…7961backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449f…cf01backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…161bbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde29…b3c1backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…f5d0backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a5…21dfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 5cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b79…5921backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772c…0151backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +227%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x100a…43bfbacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0d…6c30backed Yes | 0c | 5,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 35 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?this page
- Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?Yes won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026?No won
- Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.