TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x42fc…4927

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
129
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT4223.8%10 W · 32 L-7.1wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-60.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$316Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+61.2%+$193.37
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$272Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.16
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.89
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.68
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$16.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.02
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.25
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.83
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$492Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$623.55
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+49.1%+$10.8
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.59
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.87
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.77
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500.38
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.85
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.76
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.83
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.9
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$161.22
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.83
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$24.04
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick70cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$80.33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+48.8%+$225.8
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$13.23
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+26%+$13.76
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.55
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.97
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$16
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.27
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.6%+$9.94
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$11.26
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$8.65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+58.3%+$83.61
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.31
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.37per pick50cpaid+98.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+53.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+27%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+47.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucks vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.17
Celtics vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.25
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$33.77
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.83
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$504.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$508Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$508.2
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$481Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$785.44
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$284Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$284.12
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21.07
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.8
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
All 2 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$60.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$173.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Tyson Fury vs. Arslanbek Makhmudovbacked Makhmudov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Oilers: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. Pauli be relegated from the Bundesliga after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.