TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, Passion UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$983,577
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,094,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $983,577 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 660 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc257…358ebacked paiN43c150,000$64,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85,499.9639249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Passion UA57c148,224$84,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84,487.8421048.1%101 W · 109 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccb2…8586backed paiN43c120,666$51,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68,677.933961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked paiN41c40,000$16,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,599.97147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN41c37,506$15,504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,001.521,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12c0…692bbacked Passion UA59c32,011$18,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,786.236048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN62c25,725$15,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,756.1135850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Passion UA54c19,973$10,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,849.431723.5%4 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Passion UA39c18,000$7,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,019.9972453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked paiN62c17,643$11,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,632.7883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Passion UA59c17,031$10,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,007.7122849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Passion UA52c15,393$8,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe749…f660backed Passion UA57c12,974$7,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,395.181070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Passion UA42c12,613$5,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,280.8859839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed Passion UA57c12,570$7,195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,195.3722448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Passion UA57c12,500$7,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,124.9635153.8%189 W · 162 L+12.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed paiN51c12,368$6,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,086.049153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Passion UA60c12,007$7,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,204.2322354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed paiN45c10,400$4,630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,7706656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed Passion UA38c10,302$3,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,932.396752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Passion UA57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,70037946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked Passion UA55c9,895$5,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,478.791553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed paiN40c9,871$3,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,922.6922049.1%108 W · 112 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Passion UA57c9,450$5,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,386.5441649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c45…e5d4backed Passion UA58c9,329$5,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,456.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Passion UA57c8,772$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00032348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Passion UA56c8,742$4,895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,895.2827133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed paiN51c8,399$4,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,098.0224550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Passion UA56c8,331$4,699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,698.5724846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Passion UA57c7,993$4,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,589.3346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked Passion UA57c7,148$4,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,074.3629046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN49c6,705$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,451.13,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed paiN46c6,600$3,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.0914441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Passion UA54c6,578$3,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,563.51,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Passion UA59c6,500$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,83519455.2%107 W · 87 L+8.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Passion UA59c6,000$3,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5407940.5%32 W · 47 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Passion UA57c5,925$3,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,377.2510138.6%39 W · 62 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Passion UA26c5,874$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.2158651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked Passion UA56c5,800$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2518444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed paiN50c5,612$2,787 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.5419549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8f3…9576backed paiN42c5,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1902846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Passion UA3c5,400$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9947441.6%197 W · 277 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Passion UA51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,549.999551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Passion UA35c4,977$1,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.7833452.1%174 W · 160 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed paiN45c4,900$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,699.921941.1%90 W · 129 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked paiN41c4,892$2,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,884.4916240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Passion UA17c4,759$806 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805.581,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a74…6cd2backed Passion UA43c4,759$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,028.6824262%150 W · 92 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked Passion UA56c4,525$2,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,5305660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed paiN42c4,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.9942142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Passion UA54c4,363$2,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.2146843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed paiN51c4,278$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,086.0111361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Passion UA18c4,001$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.482,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Passion UA59c4,000$2,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,359.9922550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed paiN40c4,000$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.9912441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed paiN57c4,000$2,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,709.9864552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed paiN62c3,842$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,460.136553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0599…3c6abacked Passion UA55c3,762$2,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,085.1361754.8%338 W · 279 L-18.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed paiN41c3,659$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.544459.1%26 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5a5…31bcbacked Passion UA59c3,524$2,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,067.8950%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Passion UA25c3,474$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.9730726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb93b…4208backed paiN41c3,437$1,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,027.8324339.5%96 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Passion UA30c3,329$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.8426451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed Passion UA48c3,156$1,516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5169540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Passion UA59c3,031$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.1233960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Passion UA57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71024935.7%89 W · 160 L-14.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed paiN41c3,000$1,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,769.9971645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked paiN44c2,962$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.795855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e9…fcc9backed Passion UA54c2,943$1,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,574.95954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Passion UA45c2,872$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,28296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed Passion UA50c2,853$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,418.8828344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed paiN41c2,814$1,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.977146.5%33 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Passion UA49c2,800$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,37630340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c45…0ac6backed Passion UA37c2,703$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Passion UA53c2,685$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.2139239.8%156 W · 236 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked paiN41c2,589$1,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.2910251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Passion UA60c2,556$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.67256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed Passion UA59c2,543$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.3713857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Passion UA7c2,531$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.787254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN48c2,376$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.181,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed Passion UA52c2,359$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.245149%25 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0856…2d20backed Passion UA43c2,353$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.11631.3%5 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Passion UA58c2,333$1,358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,357.551,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN47c2,331$1,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,226.741,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN42c2,253$946 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,306.7642440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Passion UA59c2,225$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,305.854429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN57c2,184$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.4552837.1%196 W · 332 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Passion UA35c2,076$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.943,88836.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L-197.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed paiN42c2,025$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,175.296740.7%394 W · 573 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8fd…40ebbacked Passion UA56c2,019$1,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,130.51533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcb9b…6df8backed Passion UA49c2,000$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97055845.7%255 W · 303 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed paiN40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x20ec…fa43backed Passion UA46c1,954$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89318347.5%87 W · 96 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed paiN43c1,900$811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,089.098847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Passion UA1c1,896$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.7522142.1%93 W · 128 L-13.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Passion UA58c1,879$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.6626360.8%160 W · 103 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Passion UA53c1,848$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9834621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6395…d69dbacked Passion UA59c1,813$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.3811241.1%46 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Passion UA36c1,797$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.734146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22b6…0ebcbacked Passion UA56c1,775$994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.14933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.