CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x68e542f2c1181b692d43900acfaeb306ac35f2bc881a987ba972f64865fccd01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,751
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,970
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,751 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0fd9…3373backed Over | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 37c | 3,990$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.3 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under | 49c | 884.16$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.01 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed Over | 52c | 515.63$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.91 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…c217backed Under | 51c | 440$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd77f…05a4backed Over | 48c | 440$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.8 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +6.6wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Over | 52c | 260$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69db…283abacked Over | 49c | 243.53$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.53 | 183 | 36.6%67 W · 116 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Under | 48c | 237.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f4…fa45backed Over | 71c | 201.05$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.96 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…2c1cbacked Over | 56c | 179.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.65 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 45c | 148.96$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Over | 52c | 120$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 113 | 40.7%46 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddb…2d66backed Over | 66c | 57.2$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 53.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 75c | 51.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3be2…79cdbacked Under | 40c | 51.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…e4f0backed Over | 52c | 42.5$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 52c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 48c | 32.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x273a…6586backed Under | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 64c | 30.1$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…2561backed Over | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 564 | 54.3%306 W · 258 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 76c | 29.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.19 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a3…017dbacked Over | 52c | 20.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 451 | 62.3%281 W · 170 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1paiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 2 WinnerPassion UA won
- Map Handicap: PSSN.UA (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.