TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
paiNof paiN, Passion UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,729
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$114,859

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,729 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked paiN54c10,022$5,412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,61042440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Passion UA46c9,692$4,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,452.1346949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2add…32e3backed Passion UA23c8,000$1,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,820.79425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Passion UA34c5,882$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00081751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fe9…706abacked paiN56c5,364$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,363.0916448.2%79 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Passion UA46c3,157$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,452.0559839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN62c2,999$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,130.853,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN62c2,689$1,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.287,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Passion UA50c2,000$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.4324538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed paiN54c1,783$971 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$811.999153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN69c1,769$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$551.4835850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Passion UA53c1,641$874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87465650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked Passion UA20c1,587$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.3930726.4%81 W · 226 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Passion UA33c1,528$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004621.7%10 W · 36 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Passion UA23c1,500$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35061228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN63c1,491$941 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5501,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN60c1,487$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.841,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed paiN56c1,465$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.824550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Passion UA54c1,425$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77075245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed paiN80c1,255$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3255043.1%237 W · 313 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Passion UA56c1,254$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704.1934146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Passion UA22c1,104$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.472,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked paiN44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56017042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Passion UA56c984.98$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.4116947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x370d…a9e0backed Passion UA38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3046028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed Passion UA53c725.44$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3867153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Passion UA39c641.03$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018049.4%89 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed paiN55c600$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27031444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Passion UA10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5096545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed paiN45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27560853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked paiN62c400$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15210345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc76…3af1backed Passion UA38c393.46$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.995048%24 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+50.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13d…7287backed paiN52c386.91$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.9110541%43 W · 62 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-19.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5309…c6c7backed Passion UA56c379.38$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.2115151.7%78 W · 73 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed paiN54c371.01$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.11,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed Passion UA28c358.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN57c355.33$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.055,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked paiN45c338.44$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.761,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Passion UA55c320$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1765,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…b805backed paiN56c316.63$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.6321947.5%104 W · 115 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa60…556cbacked Passion UA54c305.73$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.3732352%168 W · 155 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Passion UA55c300$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.8138051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58c9…e194backed Passion UA55c291.02$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.062339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked paiN79c286.64$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.635655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8b5…20f5backed paiN80c282.55$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.51850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked paiN48c277$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.0424249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87ed…0055backed Passion UA4c275$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017847.8%85 W · 93 L+12.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed paiN66c273$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8278348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed paiN57c262.3$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.3852947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5453…a834backed Passion UA40c249.08$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.5331654.7%173 W · 143 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed paiN48c246.56$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0736554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd93d…500cbacked Passion UA21c240.63$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50219.5%2 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick16cpaid-50.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1bcd…bb7ebacked Passion UA28c230$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.741520%3 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-47.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x005d…953bbacked paiN70c207.94$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+104.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Passion UA52c200.97$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9153444.9%240 W · 294 L+11.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Passion UA19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.258651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked paiN65c182.87$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.945956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92b5…2defbacked Passion UA15c170$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2680741.3%333 W · 474 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN76c167.26$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.826,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed paiN54c162$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.51,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked Passion UA23c160.88$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5126836.6%98 W · 170 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA23c160.19$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.524,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed paiN64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.254843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6556…f5b4backed Passion UA41c146.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked Passion UA37c136.92$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a91…4e55backed Passion UA54c129.13$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.735152.9%27 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed paiN66c121.36$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.871,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed paiN56c110$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.69748.5%47 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked paiN70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.693,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5dc…dec3backed Passion UA37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d7c…b7dbbacked Passion UA57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5723646.2%109 W · 127 L-11.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Passion UA14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410163.4%64 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked paiN35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6532832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Passion UA10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1036837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdfd2…7a82backed Passion UA11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3726…8521backed Passion UA27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278145.7%37 W · 44 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked paiN50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5071951%367 W · 352 L+28.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed paiN50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506144.3%27 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c64…89babacked paiN70c99.07$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4934542.3%146 W · 199 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed paiN72c92.53$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.684,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe34…9881backed paiN73c88.3$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.992770.4%19 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed paiN48c85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.151,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked paiN56c84.19$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1159647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1be0…8892backed Passion UA57c82.46$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474951%25 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac9c…50d8backed Passion UA20c81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.225416.9%43 W · 211 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Passion UA35c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1445…614abacked paiN58c78.39$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.989865.3%64 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe36…d9a4backed paiN64c76.56$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.561457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+65.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x49df…f885backed Passion UA16c70.09$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.331346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+26.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b16…9f80backed paiN60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2811456.1%64 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Passion UA28c65.57$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.292,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xf21d…922bbacked Passion UA39c56.8$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2223056.1%129 W · 101 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c20…6fd4backed Passion UA39c53.9$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.022060%12 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed paiN54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1813556.3%76 W · 59 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b9d…ddf8backed Passion UA28c40.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.352634.6%9 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed paiN67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.47766.2%51 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3260…85ddbacked paiN47c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick49cpaid-73.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed Passion UA41c38.35$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.853647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed paiN68c36.99$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1238844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Passion UA52c32.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.91,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.