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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Passion UAof paiN, Passion UA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$133,604
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,542

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $133,604 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Passion UA63c7,944$5,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,905.3866250.3%333 W · 329 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked paiN38c6,230$2,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,343.235850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Passion UA77c5,240$4,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.5945457%259 W · 195 L-22.0wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed paiN35c5,150$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.1482543%355 W · 470 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed paiN38c4,550$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,727.2741749.9%208 W · 209 L+20.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x11e5…337ebacked Passion UA65c4,000$2,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,404.122550.7%114 W · 111 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed paiN22c3,591$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$794.9611240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e04…28a9backed paiN36c3,468$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.5837345.6%170 W · 203 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7ea…bbb3backed paiN17c3,035$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.669153.8%49 W · 42 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked paiN12c3,024$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.817254.2%39 W · 33 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked paiN17c3,011$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.982,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x370d…a9e0backed paiN25c3,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7406028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Passion UA68c2,947$2,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$932.699256.5%52 W · 40 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7951…bb41backed paiN36c2,884$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.0897840.7%398 W · 580 L+12.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked paiN19c2,155$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5431126.4%82 W · 229 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked paiN24c1,981$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.961,62745.7%743 W · 884 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked paiN21c1,635$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.533,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74ef…1ac6backed Passion UA64c1,554$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8526660.9%162 W · 104 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed paiN23c1,506$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9124550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked paiN37c1,500$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551,06949.3%527 W · 542 L+40.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0ad…bce9backed Passion UA62c1,364$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.199552.6%50 W · 45 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30f4…8c1ebacked Passion UA74c1,310$964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.3427947.7%133 W · 146 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Passion UA75c1,244$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.614,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed paiN36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43214847.3%70 W · 78 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Passion UA61c1,140$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.1875945.3%344 W · 415 L-23.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d9e…456bbacked Passion UA61c1,010$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.95655.4%31 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+57.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed paiN38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3806744.8%30 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x809c…eca3backed Passion UA62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3804759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed paiN38c999.98$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.996046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbc2…514cbacked paiN10c916.49$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.154645.7%21 W · 25 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6967…7f28backed paiN11c910.66$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.171233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked paiN41c900$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.5538251%195 W · 187 L+11.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked paiN18c895.88$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.548,05850.3%4,055 W · 4,003 L+171.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f5…40d7backed paiN36c839.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.992050%10 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Passion UA62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.4542050%210 W · 210 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked paiN9c706$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.541,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed paiN14c670.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.546,52242.9%2,798 W · 3,724 L-80.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Passion UA63c664.62$421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.7725352.2%132 W · 121 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Passion UA65c600$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21031444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed paiN37c599.99$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22260853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Passion UA62c564.52$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.5231452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x09e0…ae21backed paiN13c545.44$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.75250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+178.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed paiN39c513.08$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20069635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed paiN40c500.11$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.8852947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3edb…5280backed Passion UA65c457.96$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.326953.6%37 W · 32 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ae…af00backed Passion UA68c450$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.526451.5%136 W · 128 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Passion UA65c436.64$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6898752.5%518 W · 469 L+26.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Passion UA63c434.04$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.5946949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Passion UA61c394.69$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.9324139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a12…d212backed paiN26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed paiN33c374.99$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.510841.7%45 W · 63 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x472d…942cbacked paiN21c374.18$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.2862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed paiN19c371.89$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.821,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Passion UA63c332.46$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.2213657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed paiN40c330$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13261142.7%261 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Passion UA63c300$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3653545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked paiN12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3671123.9%170 W · 541 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked paiN23c274.01$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.245,65147.2%2,668 W · 2,983 L+46.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked paiN18c273.62$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.2159647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked paiN17c264.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4554837.4%205 W · 343 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc935…2579backed Passion UA79c236.38$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.785248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb87…0335backed Passion UA64c228.94$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9436554.8%200 W · 165 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+11.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Passion UA63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7466753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5076…e15dbacked Passion UA61c179.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5731959.9%191 W · 128 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f59…bd2dbacked paiN37c164.86$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$614660.9%28 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3be2…79cdbacked paiN29c159.13$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.381533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed paiN32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013943.9%61 W · 78 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Passion UA66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.521,24841.3%516 W · 732 L+5.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c83…0f34backed paiN31c150.43$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.611471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed paiN37c146.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.71,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48bf…f7e2backed paiN31c141.94$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446637.9%25 W · 41 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Passion UA59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.440655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed paiN25c136$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5538844.6%173 W · 215 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde4b…3b7dbacked paiN40c119$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.631852.8%168 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5261…3ddbbacked Passion UA74c118.13$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.131566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f07…c74fbacked paiN26c110$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.74835.4%17 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38c…d9f2backed Passion UA64c109.94$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9453248.9%260 W · 272 L-29.0wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc226…497dbacked Passion UA71c105.04$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.961662.5%10 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Passion UA71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0362…2af9backed paiN23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2313556.3%76 W · 59 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed paiN31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41cc…adc7backed paiN18c95.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.31540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+72.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x127a…3344backed paiN20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.8329465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9c83…fceabacked paiN18c81.26$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-36.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06d9…7cfbbacked paiN31c79.76$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252657.7%15 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7181…1b0abacked Passion UA63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.375457.4%31 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed paiN35c78.42$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4565052.6%342 W · 308 L+25.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcbe7…90dcbacked Passion UA65c76.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.917262.5%45 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed paiN23c71.48$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.162,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x6503…09f6backed paiN39c70$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked paiN16c65$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.241,67332.7%547 W · 1,126 L-48.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ca6…3841backed paiN25c62.69$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.7511241.1%46 W · 66 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd4…b3a8backed paiN28c60$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.85536.4%20 W · 35 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x106f…d28fbacked Passion UA61c52.26$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.384763.8%30 W · 17 L+6.8wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed paiN40c51.86$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8522844.3%101 W · 127 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Passion UA67c50.01$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.54,26149.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L+62.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d76…90c2backed paiN42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x79c6…4cf3backed Passion UA60c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2015051.3%77 W · 73 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd9…51e9backed Passion UA62c48.39$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-43.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked Passion UA56c48$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1217042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.