TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6556…f5b4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
43
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Lol, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 58 out of 100; worst Champions League at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT2544%11 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$51.11
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$240
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Astralis - Map 1 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+233.3%+$140
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$73
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+203%+$121.82
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$45.51
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Liquid - Map 2 Winnerbacked M80 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+108.3%+$65
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+518.1%+$269.39
Counter-Strike: paiN vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+100%+$60
Counter-Strike: NIP vs NRG - Map 2 Winnerbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41.69
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+122.2%+$97.78
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Passion UA - Map 1 Winnerbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+163.2%+$114.21
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+98.7%+$58.21
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Passion UA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$150
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$147.69
All 25 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.41per pick39cpaid+97.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-40.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+82.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$216.89
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+170.3%+$297.97
Celtics vs. Nuggetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$121
All 3 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$382
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.