TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$291,568

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $291,568 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x88d1…18dabacked Spirit70c19,300$13,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,789.9922354.7%122 W · 101 L-9.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x15a6…bf5dbacked G229c15,555$4,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,555.339739.2%38 W · 59 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed Spirit70c15,000$10,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Spirit69c14,442$9,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,532.4411758.1%68 W · 49 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3f8e…e8d1backed G240c13,647$5,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,50010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Spirit69c11,778$8,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,593.4919645.4%89 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed G230c10,000$3,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,019.9530340.3%122 W · 181 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x562b…f85fbacked G232c9,375$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,998.845855.2%32 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Spirit71c8,632$6,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.5112648.4%61 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-20.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed G229c8,557$2,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,517.0471645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2560…0b02backed G230c7,980$2,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,393.9922448.7%109 W · 115 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed G231c7,146$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,212.2224846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2f28…9291backed G230c6,677$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x098b…1fa5backed G230c6,000$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.8912441.1%51 W · 73 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Spirit70c5,506$3,854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.817147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed Spirit70c5,000$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5006656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G212c4,957$584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.362,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked G230c4,890$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,46735850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed G230c4,167$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25035236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G215c4,040$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.442,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked G230c3,880$1,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,16420539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked G232c3,565$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,140.6917945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed G212c3,554$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.0118624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked G231c3,539$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.085,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x11a2…db39backed Spirit71c3,363$2,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$975.41553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked G230c3,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.95644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd54…b245backed Spirit71c3,333$2,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$966.577256.9%41 W · 31 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x40a2…19c9backed Spirit69c3,082$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.859340.9%38 W · 55 L-7.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Spirit65c3,075$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,074.9525261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5124…91bbbacked Spirit70c3,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9002552%13 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed G217c2,752$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.896858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked G217c2,645$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.458444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked G235c2,500$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.982,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G218c2,500$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458.3378639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed G233c2,500$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$836.654,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed G230c2,500$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.991,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Spirit70c2,375$1,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.5684454.3%458 W · 386 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Spirit70c2,332$1,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.3687244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked G231c2,284$698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$698.1313053.8%70 W · 60 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Spirit71c2,128$1,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.1717240.7%70 W · 102 L-9.3wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked G226c2,109$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.5220238.6%78 W · 124 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spirit66c2,061$1,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.822,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed G228c2,061$577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577.0225842.2%109 W · 149 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked G234c2,053$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.483,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked G219c2,040$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.323,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed G233c2,010$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.355236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x959f…9e2fbacked Spirit70c2,000$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6009258.7%54 W · 38 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3414…067abacked G230c2,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6007832.1%25 W · 53 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a8…bdc6backed Spirit70c1,996$1,397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$598.7910753.3%57 W · 50 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82aa…6bacbacked Spirit70c1,977$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit69c1,956$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.446149.9%230 W · 231 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7ea…eebabacked G230c1,952$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed G230c1,940$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5827536%27 W · 48 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Spirit71c1,819$1,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.61,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Spirit69c1,802$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.4642142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed G230c1,667$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025440.6%103 W · 151 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0caf…91adbacked Spirit70c1,621$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.0812465.3%81 W · 43 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G215c1,606$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.21,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Spirit68c1,471$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.5920458.3%119 W · 85 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Spirit60c1,454$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.7415760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xce8b…6bc7backed Spirit72c1,384$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.064158.5%24 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cf0…e384backed G230c1,367$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40433153.5%177 W · 154 L-0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Spirit74c1,354$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.8732653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit71c1,333$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.141,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked G232c1,277$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.6312449.2%61 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07dd…0876backed G230c1,181$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.38733.3%29 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed Spirit67c1,142$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8411361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeb9…95c9backed G228c1,130$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.454732.2%176 W · 371 L-28.0wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Spirit68c1,089$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.5412552.8%66 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x653e…bbc0backed G230c1,070$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$320.8538739.5%153 W · 234 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit67c1,043$698 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.777,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x10d4…d953backed G231c1,020$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.28847.7%42 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked G229c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29017148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xebb4…1374backed Spirit69c999.99$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3108951.7%46 W · 43 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked G212c945$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.498052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G220c935.56$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.276,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d82…0d44backed Spirit71c910$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.314056.4%79 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b97…4d93backed G229c899.96$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.998151.9%42 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b0c…e795backed Spirit69c893.85$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.875455.6%30 W · 24 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Spirit72c890$643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.925,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf4ed…1e6bbacked Spirit71c864.79$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.792544%11 W · 14 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Spirit72c859.72$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.7234156.6%193 W · 148 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed G230c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Spirit70c831.4$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.4216750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked G29c802.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked G219c800$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15129127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Spirit75c800$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2007255.6%40 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Spirit71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23245455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked G229c776.99$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.331,14449.4%565 W · 579 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked G29c762.91$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.441,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G216c746.07$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0488746.7%414 W · 473 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964a…2b6bbacked Spirit76c723.43$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.335944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked G235c721.58$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25052636.5%192 W · 334 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf16…65a6backed Spirit70c715.46$501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.6423557.4%135 W · 100 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6867…f8d2backed Spirit71c704.23$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.236443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed G227c699.78$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.2256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b2b…d4d3backed G232c680.72$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2177153.5%38 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed G230c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20045639.3%179 W · 277 L-29.2wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcceb…9594backed Spirit70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1805058%29 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b8…e420backed Spirit78c600$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.56650%3 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-34.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.