CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x91d802a6d9bc275749d8ddb155a2520ea4b879a84c31be8e53f7d0934e1dce64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,552 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 1,537$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.37 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 71c | 1,424$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.29 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 39c | 1,004$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.94 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 69c | 845.14$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.17 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65e8…93a4backed Over | 40c | 475$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cd…87a9backed Over | 40c | 456$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a55…0241backed Over | 45c | 431$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b13…a4dfbacked Over | 45c | 422$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c68…b181backed Over | 45c | 420$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 54c | 401.43$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.03 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under | 57c | 347.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.91 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed Under | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…37bcbacked Under | 60c | 325$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e3…6376backed Under | 55c | 315$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf2…54efbacked Under | 60c | 310$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +124.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Under | 68c | 301$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.02 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12ff…0852backed Under | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.3 | 204 | 45.6%93 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…f86fbacked Under | 60c | 296$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed Over | 45c | 289.11$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78c…f067backed Over | 45c | 284$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b22…2dc6backed Under | 55c | 255$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18e1…edc8backed Under | 55c | 226$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 55c | 224.04$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.06 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7426…6860backed Under | 59c | 221$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0a…f952backed Under | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…ab97backed Under | 55c | 194$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x471e…84cbbacked Under | 55c | 186$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed Over | 48c | 178.13$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e4…02aabacked Under | 55c | 161$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66d5…eba3backed Over | 39c | 150.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 69c | 145.53$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.53 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Over | 52c | 144.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ba…ea81backed Over | 41c | 142$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 38c | 111.59$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Under | 51c | 102.04$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed Under | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 99.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 34c | 90.53$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 64c | 90$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b3eabacked Over | 41c | 79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 19c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 72c | 76.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 23c | 61.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…a8e1backed Under | 53c | 46.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked Over | 47c | 42.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c9…de3bbacked Over | 40c | 39.44$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…dad8backed Over | 46c | 32.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Under | 62c | 31.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd030…bcf3backed Under | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cca…17e5backed Under | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Under | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a34…e379backed Under | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 128 | 56.3%72 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 75c | 14.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2Spirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 WinnerSpirit won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 WinnerSpirit won
- Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.