TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spiritof Spirit, G2
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$156,339

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,339 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b0…329ebacked G257c6,800$3,891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,891.0925655.5%142 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x506b…3f70backed Spirit59c6,207$3,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.596858.8%40 W · 28 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Spirit64c6,128$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,228.8538546.2%178 W · 207 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Spirit54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,759.9981751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked G244c4,187$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.222,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed G240c3,834$1,527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.774,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked G249c3,354$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.8860540%242 W · 363 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e38…de0fbacked Spirit53c3,300$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,539.1215760.5%95 W · 62 L+15.8wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+10.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Spirit52c3,138$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,515.5922927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Spirit42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,74046949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ab4…96a5backed Spirit78c2,780$2,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.528050%40 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed G251c2,585$1,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.9615249.3%75 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spirit59c2,523$1,489 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.412,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed G254c2,500$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34029858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked G247c2,028$944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943.973,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed Spirit50c2,018$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.6515970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed G220c1,788$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.071,28322%282 W · 1,001 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed G250c1,564$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.1882143%353 W · 468 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked G223c1,500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34561228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaed7…088dbacked G23c1,497$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414650%23 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed G241c1,390$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57324944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked Spirit63c1,352$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.8217850%89 W · 89 L-0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked G220c1,224$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.52,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x417f…f97bbacked Spirit70c1,031$718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.685133.3%17 W · 34 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed G230c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30078939.5%312 W · 477 L-3.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed G227c1,000$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27011852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Spirit68c942.29$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.5340950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed G244c909.98$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.7414532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb00a…c58cbacked G239c891.8$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.88444%37 W · 47 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed G236c862.31$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.782,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Spirit47c850$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.8820539.5%81 W · 124 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Spirit63c784.13$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1328443.7%124 W · 160 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed Spirit57c762.98$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0852947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed G230c749.55$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.2989546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Spirit79c736.17$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5539468%268 W · 126 L+26.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked G241c723.36$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.061,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed G242c720.93$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30569635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Spirit61c705.1$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.7398352.4%515 W · 468 L+26.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked G235c705$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.4545357.2%259 W · 194 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b22…ba7bbacked G229c687.66$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3810345.6%47 W · 56 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked G253c651.22$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.3215153.6%81 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338c…1b33backed Spirit62c645.01$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245.0116947.9%81 W · 88 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Spirit59c633.03$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.851,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed G226c600$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15631444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed G230c573.05$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.636,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Spirit70c514.01$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.135,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Spirit63c503.16$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.3645162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked G229c501.94$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.2747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x323b…6ed9backed Spirit72c500$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.32867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Spirit58c485.5$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.9146349.9%231 W · 232 L-1.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe9…4789backed G240c478$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed G215c473.65$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7680744.6%360 W · 447 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb6…697fbacked G240c461$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.4425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick19cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Spirit61c448.64$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.974946.9%23 W · 26 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6be5…e926backed G240c413$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed G245c410.66$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.855343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit64c406.23$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.87,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit48c399.36$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.461,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed G238c394.97$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15244743.8%196 W · 251 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked G247c391.49$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18420549.8%102 W · 103 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Spirit59c384.35$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.981,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f41…a6c8backed Spirit61c366.18$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.952673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6668…0b15backed Spirit55c361$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+83.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992d…3fe7backed Spirit52c359$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5085…9bbcbacked Spirit52c339.42$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.42966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked G244c322.87$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.7918933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G28c306.41$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.625,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Spirit57c300$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12978348.4%379 W · 404 L+17.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f43…843abacked G246c293.76$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.1310236.3%37 W · 65 L-10.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-22.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cc…3ddebacked G240c287.5$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1151050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7049…4addbacked Spirit52c287$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4aa2…9767backed Spirit60c283$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edd…4287backed G246c277$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99e6…9544backed Spirit54c277$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d4…1b4abacked Spirit60c263$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30c8…7d4ebacked G240c258$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed G210c251.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.132,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed G243c250.99$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8417644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Spirit55c245.77$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.554,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe902…eda4backed G241c242.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.687755.8%43 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bea…5d50backed G233c241.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.7233949%166 W · 173 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af6…7cb7backed Spirit79c241.25$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.667258.3%42 W · 30 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked G238c226.97$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.7929547.8%141 W · 154 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b85…1f67backed Spirit60c226$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+114.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G235c217$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.053,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca6c…32dabacked Spirit60c215$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Spirit60c211.63$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3a…3333backed Spirit60c211$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec66…4966backed Spirit60c211$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+79.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed G248c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10b2…9ac1backed G248c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021137.4%79 W · 132 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed G258c207.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015142.4%64 W · 87 L-7.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeef0…d7acbacked G248c201$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c79…f9fbbacked Spirit60c201$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+150%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed G219c200.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.131,54833.9%524 W · 1,024 L-73.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4013…406bbacked Spirit71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5815063.3%95 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked G235c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd752…85d4backed Spirit55c199.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.9936837.5%138 W · 230 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x806d…6869backed G247c193$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa019…c220backed G223c190.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8421437.9%81 W · 133 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.