CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2d3586e642482eee78c819bf4995cd1f8c70d9daa17e0971ad5a4d8d0b56e28a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,415
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,415 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29d5…9f96backed Over | 46c | 4,999$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc930…8b60backed Under | 54c | 4,999$2,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 64c | 914.34$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.93 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 26c | 667.68$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.27 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d2…6618backed Under | 55c | 619$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Under | 51c | 593.29$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.84 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Under | 51c | 457.38$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.12 | 176 | 44.9%79 W · 97 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…bce9backed Over | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6867…f8d2backed Over | 49c | 404.48$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd54…edadbacked Over | 46c | 390$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 69c | 387.31$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2828…00f3backed Over | 46c | 380$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22a6…c9dcbacked Under | 53c | 368$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9be1…ec2fbacked Under | 53c | 366$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f34abacked Over | 46c | 358$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x710f…9251backed Over | 47c | 332$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a59…6196backed Under | 54c | 325$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…3349backed Under | 54c | 325$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Under | 50c | 312.48$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.24 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…efbcbacked Over | 47c | 308$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00eb…1d71backed Over | 47c | 304$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Over | 49c | 301$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.49 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa396…cb18backed Under | 53c | 295$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…4ac5backed Under | 56c | 292$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa780…6976backed Under | 54c | 279$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 22c | 278.05$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe35…80f0backed Under | 54c | 276$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…76afbacked Over | 47c | 276$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe23…9a6abacked Over | 47c | 272$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4f…bc74backed Over | 46c | 268$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a59…016dbacked Under | 56c | 258$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34c2…7e2bbacked Over | 46c | 257$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.22 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87c1…ea70backed Over | 46c | 250$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37ba…66d4backed Over | 46c | 243$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb739…5094backed Under | 54c | 242$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…1a13backed Under | 54c | 228$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb3c…fb3dbacked Under | 54c | 227$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…5068backed Over | 46c | 224$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…17bdbacked Under | 54c | 224$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d9…d542backed Under | 54c | 221$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 49c | 216$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd7…8d5ebacked Under | 54c | 211$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…099bbacked Under | 53c | 194$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…8ea4backed Over | 46c | 187$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec0…ea36backed Over | 46c | 182$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85f0…ef58backed Under | 54c | 181$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.26 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 43c | 156.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6556…f5b4backed Over | 49c | 148.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa155…d40fbacked Over | 44c | 145$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb52e…5cf1backed Over | 44c | 132$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 49c | 115$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02af…33a8backed Over | 44c | 108$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Over | 26c | 106.36$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…0cd0backed Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ead…5c81backed Over | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…d3d8backed Over | 44c | 83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850b…72c0backed Over | 44c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 49c | 60.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x724c…1521backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed Over | 21c | 55.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Under | 52c | 48$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.05 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a38…2a21backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce6e…77ddbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.7wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 543 | 46.2%251 W · 292 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3e…20eabacked Over | 44c | 27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Under | 55c | 23.68$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.75 | 331 | 56.5%187 W · 144 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2G2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 1 WinnerG2 won
- Counter-Strike: G2 vs FaZe - Map 2 WinnerG2 won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)G2 won
- Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs FaZe (+1.5)G2 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.