TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$510,313
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$600,163

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $510,313 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes19c55,000$10,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,449.995345.3%24 W · 29 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes16c37,425$5,890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,890.426,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes18c14,583$2,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,624.9485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes18c13,365$2,428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,427.915344.4%68 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes18c13,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,339.995042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No80c11,785$9,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3573452.9%18 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2a2…b04dbacked Yes9c11,242$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes18c10,000$1,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,749.9824146.9%113 W · 128 L+21.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes6c8,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51019729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes19c7,300$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.415442.6%23 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes1c6,741$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414216.7%7 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick10cpaid+80.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes1c6,520$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.721305.4%7 W · 123 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No80c6,274$5,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.8579639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xaef2…1255backed Yes0c6,000$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes20c5,040$1,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0084240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Yes17c4,610$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80035134.8%122 W · 229 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe492…01cbbacked Yes11c4,343$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes17c4,303$732 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$731.5715944.7%71 W · 88 L+9.7wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes7c3,280$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.544,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes18c3,157$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.592,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16c7…3931backed Yes20c3,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004641.3%19 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Yes18c2,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45016050.6%81 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes18c2,265$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.961,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked Yes18c2,220$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.619239.1%75 W · 117 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd261…b663backed Yes7c1,950$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.481421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+112.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes16c1,732$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.4846943.5%204 W · 265 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-16%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes18c1,630$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.4525544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7d…5a77backed Yes5c1,580$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8350%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Yes18c1,500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27013151.1%67 W · 64 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa628…b0bdbacked Yes8c1,282$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes1c1,143$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.432,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes7c1,110$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.011,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No80c1,069$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.8356453.9%304 W · 260 L+27.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes7c1,023$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.111,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x954e…927fbacked Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1806650%33 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19060728%170 W · 437 L+2.7wins0.00per pick28cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ea8…ddc0backed Yes18c1,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ff…013abacked Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1902060%12 W · 8 L+3.8wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+34.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes19c1,000$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1704944.9%22 W · 27 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+24.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes5c987.19$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1128633.9%97 W · 189 L+19.7wins+0.07per pick27cpaid+22%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Yes19c962.62$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3212949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes23c884.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20025225%63 W · 189 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes23c817.39$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18824047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes18c779$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.5268942.2%291 W · 398 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes18c777$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.869849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8713…4007backed No78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.031172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes20c577.05$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.2427141.7%113 W · 158 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes19c568.42$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1086233.9%21 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes19c526.32$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes19c510.32$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9611232.1%36 W · 76 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes4c500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4223325.8%60 W · 173 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006139.3%24 W · 37 L-0.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9059445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes19c476.21$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.8320027%54 W · 146 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5f0c…9fc9backed Yes23c469.3$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1101827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+83.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x529f…ffd4backed Yes26c461.54$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1202821.4%6 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+24.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0c9…2498backed Yes19c453.47$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.16825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6556…f5b4backed Yes19c421.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Yes20c400$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80329.4%3 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-52.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Yes7c400$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2815735.7%56 W · 101 L+15.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+27.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x18b2…9141backed Yes20c380$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0909…78dcbacked No80c377.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.242748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes11c367.61$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.0810341.7%43 W · 60 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes18c338.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7549753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2059…e3fdbacked Yes6c328.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-53%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd790…a24ebacked Yes20c325$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651020%2 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3771…54b3backed Yes6c322.38$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.21323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f28…e43ebacked Yes6c299.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick41cpaid-82.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c03…eecdbacked Yes20c280.3$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.0620%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65d8…bac6backed Yes18c267.7$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.485143.1%22 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedd6…50cebacked Yes5c256.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes24c243.09$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3445142.6%192 W · 259 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No76c241.84$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.7772142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf404…0271backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x80ff…82c2backed Yes7c214.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+16.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked Yes24c210.2$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015245.4%69 W · 83 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a28…eff6backed Yes21c208.7$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442035%7 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb32d…c4b8backed No75c200$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d55…1e94backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011923.5%28 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408045%36 W · 44 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes18c197$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4621253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8510…57e6backed Yes19c181.47$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.11225%3 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-67.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed Yes20c165$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x94e5…52bebacked Yes18c161.35$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.041643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x898f…0dd0backed Yes8c160$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e1e…49d9backed Yes18c153.32$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.62646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes18c151$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1836845.7%168 W · 200 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes18c150.67$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.775850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-31.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fd9…b161backed Yes20c150$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306238.7%24 W · 38 L-4.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes9c149.19$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.215927.1%16 W · 43 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-54.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf7ea…22d6backed Yes27c147.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.72757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcca1…f08bbacked Yes7c142.86$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes15c140$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.712639.7%50 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes18c136.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.556346%29 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes22c133$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0525052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x154d…99f9backed Yes19c127.82$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.29862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1460…b5bbbacked Yes19c126.32$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes19c124.87$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.623250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.