TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3771…54b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
39
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick15cpaid+152.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$82.99
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Spread: IR Iran (-2.5)backed IR Iran · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 1 - 1 Uruguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+809.1%+$97.09
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+1,823.1%+$273.46
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)backed Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$19
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.2
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$30.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$15.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Will West Ham United FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+270.4%+$54.07
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$111Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$110.7
Will Brentford FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+244.8%+$71
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+809.1%+$178
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+611.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: India vs New Zealandbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
T20 World Cup: West Indies vs South Africabacked West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$93
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazersbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.