Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6d113735a3c2fe384bcc2fe59019f3eaf43942cc2344c4a04275a8b53761252
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $228,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $230,792
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $228,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 60,110$4,806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,805.58 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes | 8c | 28,715$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,379.4 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes | 9c | 22,222$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 8c | 10,677$906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.61 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 3,822$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 8c | 3,500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ca…02d5backed Yes | 8c | 2,361$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…379cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,556$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…ead3backed Yes | 7c | 1,340$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8783…db0cbacked Yes | 8c | 1,252$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a6…3463backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 23.1%27 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f7d…f097backed Yes | 9c | 1,222$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 109 | 15.6%17 W · 92 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3a…6221backed Yes | 8c | 1,181$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 7c | 1,139$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.73 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 9c | 777.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…e3d7backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7e…0332backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 535 | 14.6%78 W · 457 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…0ad4backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…04a0backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -29%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a41…061bbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3848…9db2backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…60ecbacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…6d8abacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…b8e0backed Yes | 5c | 554.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.74 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 17cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a62…3df0backed Yes | 9c | 534$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba4…6a8cbacked Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb9f…dd87backed Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e32…3afcbacked Yes | 8c | 477.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 8c | 462.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6db6…5176backed Yes | 9c | 460.89$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 76 | 15.8%12 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…a449backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e0…b09bbacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 9cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 9c | 422.59$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.33 | 508 | 33.3%169 W · 339 L | -35.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadef…02ccbacked Yes | 4c | 400$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb136…c3cabacked Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…1534backed Yes | 11c | 375$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 8c | 357.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes | 9c | 350$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 246 | 16.3%40 W · 206 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…263cbacked Yes | 9c | 344.48$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd6…77dabacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 133 | 29.3%39 W · 94 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7d…928abacked Yes | 9c | 321.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…4c78backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca9…d17cbacked Yes | 9c | 278.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06d5…0417backed Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 143 | 29.4%42 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed Yes | 8c | 268.15$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 9c | 255.56$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 352 | 29.3%103 W · 249 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3771…54b3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 15cpaid | +152.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3510…d3bdbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8733…5460backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 9.5%8 W · 76 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes | 8c | 243.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.45 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772e…a81fbacked Yes | 8c | 235$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8076…85f9backed Yes | 9c | 234.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f11…3892backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacd5…8088backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae9…98babacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f8…a9efbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 22.8%26 W · 88 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9af…40c4backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 232 | 18.1%42 W · 190 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7810…5ef1backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 10c | 221.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.11 | 426 | 40.1%171 W · 255 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac7d…f1b2backed Yes | 8c | 212.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68fd…ea31backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d3…3e3cbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Yes | 9c | 188.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab29…dcc4backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05fa…c771backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x488d…845dbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 70 | 15.7%11 W · 59 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 9c | 177.86$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c7…6021backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 186 | 25.3%47 W · 139 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7a…3cd6backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 47 | 10.6%5 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…c457backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb36…10a3backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fde…e035backed Yes | 9c | 163.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x310d…4b75backed Yes | 9c | 155.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb83…ea2ebacked Yes | 9c | 152.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74a4…fb64backed Yes | 8c | 144.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 77 | 20.8%16 W · 61 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…0849backed Yes | 9c | 132$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a1…7c9dbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…2d07backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 35.6%31 W · 56 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…d63ebacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…8291backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0cca…6143backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd7c…ee32backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc173…b6bdbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8de…1559backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d4…0e06backed Yes | 9c | 124.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d1…0b41backed Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 463 | 19.9%92 W · 371 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…2c99backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ea…497abacked Yes | 16c | 93.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…1401backed Yes | 18c | 81.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.