TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,516

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 207 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes13c92,407$12,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,197.18,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes12c18,267$2,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,131.767114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes12c16,667$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes14c16,218$2,296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,296.144,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c12,592$1,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,485.262,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes12c11,401$1,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,352.9978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes10c6,247$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.631,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes25c4,833$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.671,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes11c4,800$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53617414.4%25 W · 149 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes11c4,110$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.12740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed Yes10c3,279$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.7722247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9940515.3%62 W · 343 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes12c2,869$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.2856410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc54…4582backed Yes11c2,727$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016319.6%32 W · 131 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes12c2,386$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.3456022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No78c2,352$1,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.854,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5335…2df4backed Yes45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1402…4853backed Yes13c2,146$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27915317%26 W · 127 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa87d…e4bfbacked No52c2,070$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$994.564223.8%10 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid+86%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes17c1,511$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.932,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Yes25c1,262$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.5351032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefe9…7aaabacked Yes12c1,198$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.727412.2%9 W · 65 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-42.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3790…5e8bbacked Yes10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1104623.9%11 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick21cpaid+53.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No56c1,089$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481.652,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3bf5…2307backed Yes47c1,051$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.9333843.5%147 W · 191 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8783…db0cbacked Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019342%81 W · 112 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48ee…ca73backed Yes10c1,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100219.5%2 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No80c973.28$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.364650%23 W · 23 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a5c…ae3abacked Yes52c964.57$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes5c950.09$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010435.6%37 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d3…4f06backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004047.5%19 W · 21 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e74…ec81backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028626.9%77 W · 209 L-1.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No78c907.25$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.062,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02a6…3463backed Yes11c874.82$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.2311723.1%27 W · 90 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+22.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56f7…c709backed Yes11c871$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.81128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4499…943bbacked Yes13c823.07$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1066238.7%24 W · 38 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes6c820.87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4810420.2%21 W · 83 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc51…30d7backed Yes12c812.33$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.482128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+50.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d33…80a6backed Yes13c773.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2299…d23abacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes13c744.59$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ad…eb9cbacked Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006725.4%17 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes26c603.9$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9550833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Yes11c600$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6689443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739d…d2ffbacked Yes12c583.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018128.2%51 W · 130 L+0.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fea…f235backed Yes12c583.33$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3918…b552backed Yes11c576.65$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.432015%3 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x82ca…f574backed Yes11c570.09$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.712222.7%5 W · 17 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c12…748fbacked Yes12c529.61$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5532422.5%73 W · 251 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick25cpaid+8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe530…379cbacked Yes13c517.95$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666150.8%31 W · 30 L+4.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf69…04a0backed Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012514.4%18 W · 107 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes6c500$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.51458.3%12 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4087…ffd2backed Yes64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005527.3%15 W · 40 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f64…e6d1backed Yes13c461.54$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602213.6%3 W · 19 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick14cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bae…a34cbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507327.4%20 W · 53 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x834b…262bbacked Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick24cpaid-14.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2a…0ad4backed Yes11c454.55$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50147.1%1 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick24cpaid-84.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes11c445$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.951,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fa9…7633backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016825.6%43 W · 125 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9af…40c4backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023218.1%42 W · 190 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-37.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes8c409.9$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.7727034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3c32…37e3backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+63.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes11c384.91$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.341,06749.1%524 W · 543 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc876…9903backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012430.6%38 W · 86 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c9b…9a7fbacked Yes12c375$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf51a…7e42backed Yes13c369.23$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485012%6 W · 44 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf967…69ccbacked Yes11c363.64$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca9…d17cbacked Yes12c333.33$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401822.2%4 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x27c9…4abdbacked Yes11c309.27$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021250%6 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes13c307.69$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x705e…a25fbacked Yes11c300$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331513.3%2 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe993…90ebbacked Yes13c288.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.57832.1%25 W · 53 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No57c272.78$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.432,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e72…0b33backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301921.1%4 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick24cpaid+15.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…a524backed Yes11c272.73$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304731.9%15 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-27.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…60ebbacked Yes13c261.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-71.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e3…b615backed Yes13c261.54$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3463229.3%185 W · 447 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Yes52c252.15$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.2239644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2535714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3510…d3bdbacked Yes11c250$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53920.5%8 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfed…170bbacked Yes12c250$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No65c249.97$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.212,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6861…b317backed Yes43c232.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008066.3%53 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e00…4cf1backed Yes11c224.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.733333.3%11 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf582…0700backed Yes24c208.85$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a99…e614backed Yes13c205.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.698025%20 W · 60 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa03e…727abacked Yes11c203.91$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4323145.9%106 W · 125 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c2b…3febbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-68.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x65f3…12cdbacked Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf47d…da66backed Yes12c200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248626.7%23 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacfe…2008backed Yes10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201136.4%4 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick22cpaid+110.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes11c200$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2245820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes10c199.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.943324.2%8 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d6…fab4backed Yes61c194.28$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.952532%8 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes12c191.67$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231323.1%3 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b4d…c525backed Yes11c190.91$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2117020%34 W · 136 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-22.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c7a…3cd6backed Yes10c190$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194710.6%5 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.