TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$271,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$339,468

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $271,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19de…e917backed Yes6c32,290$1,937 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30,352.62722.2%6 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick29cpaid+21%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes16c23,546$3,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,882.978,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x874a…4593backed Yes6c17,287$1,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,243.52250%1 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick4cpaid+728.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes6c8,823$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,293.887114.1%10 W · 61 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick16cpaid+30.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes6c8,519$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,010.62,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes8c5,844$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,383.931,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f63…f247backed Yes6c5,555$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,227.212325.2%31 W · 92 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7655…2b5ebacked Yes6c5,038$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,738.35387.9%3 W · 35 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes76c1,850$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.772,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked No18c1,785$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.4798134.8%341 W · 640 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a98…1b92backed No25c1,562$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.8911249.1%55 W · 57 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes18c1,422$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,172.545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed No23c1,190$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.651,06331.7%337 W · 726 L-33.7wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-17.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes6c1,182$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.3424616.3%40 W · 206 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-20.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes6c1,174$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.4856022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes57c1,154$662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.43,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9392…a5fcbacked Yes6c1,132$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.91414.3%2 W · 12 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick14cpaid+36.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc876…9903backed Yes6c1,108$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.2412430.6%38 W · 86 L-10.3wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36b0…1a94backed Yes6c1,083$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,018.3319324.4%47 W · 146 L+0.4wins0.00per pick24cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62f8…2928backed Yes6c1,017$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.954211.9%5 W · 37 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes6c885.96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$835.966729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa61f…7993backed Yes6c850.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.0335229.3%103 W · 249 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+20.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0aa5…2aa1backed Yes6c831.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781.34714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+137.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2d8…6e1fbacked Yes6c819.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$769.6714531.7%46 W · 99 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa99a…388ebacked Yes50c807.07$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.541752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc0…7c96backed Yes6c804.78$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$754.784812.5%6 W · 42 L-0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid+14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d23…df4cbacked Yes6c795.79$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$749.791040%4 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+159%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6db…cdd2backed Yes2c658$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.161458.3%12 W · 133 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick10cpaid+28.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9605…a2c4backed Yes8c644.39$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.3921226.9%57 W · 155 L-9.4wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes5c608.74$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.221,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b1…e789backed Yes19c526.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.3217053.5%91 W · 79 L+14.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes66c520.85$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.3950833.3%169 W · 339 L-35.7wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-40.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes2c514.54$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.292,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f4…2ccfbacked Yes6c508.47$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.47273.7%1 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-37.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Yes71c505.38$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.2518056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Yes6c500$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47015536.8%57 W · 98 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+19.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd963…fd5abacked Yes16c487.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.0914640.4%59 W · 87 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef22…8c02backed Yes6c481.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.482615.4%4 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick11cpaid+78.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc01a…b014backed Yes18c475.76$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.13666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+87.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ecf…8a08backed Yes6c430.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,539.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes6c416.67$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.6730321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f7d…f097backed Yes19c396.35$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.3510915.6%17 W · 92 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes6c383.33$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.3353514.6%78 W · 457 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes5c376.95$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.136631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3771…5023backed Yes6c357.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.149317.2%16 W · 77 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+23.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes6c353$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.431,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes6c344.99$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.9545820.3%93 W · 365 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa40…9e37backed No6c343.88$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.122247.7%106 W · 116 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4765…ca11backed Yes6c338.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.9811612.9%15 W · 101 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x06d5…0417backed Yes7c337.84$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.8414329.4%42 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes6c326.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.2235714%50 W · 307 L-0.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39cf…6b4dbacked Yes6c321.05$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.055322.6%12 W · 41 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3f…0a99backed Yes6c312.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.530011.3%34 W · 266 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+16.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca5…08f1backed Yes6c310.27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.274845.8%22 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes6c300$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.310314.6%15 W · 88 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+49.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No26c276.51$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.332,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes38c267.96$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.464,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4edd…ddf1backed Yes39c266.53$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.8727034.4%93 W · 177 L+14.4wins+0.05per pick29cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd3d4…59dbbacked Yes67c260.38$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1418449.5%91 W · 93 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Yes67c260.38$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1451859.8%310 W · 208 L+26.7wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x53f8…7473backed Yes19c257.95$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.942326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+88.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x488d…845dbacked Yes6c254.24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.247015.7%11 W · 59 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8c7a…3cd6backed Yes6c250$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2354710.6%5 W · 42 L+0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes19c241.28$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.287011.4%8 W · 62 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5fde…e035backed Yes6c241.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.452245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick33cpaid+71.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0dba…c1a7backed Yes6c235.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.863330.3%10 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick19cpaid+79.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00dd…5215backed Yes6c234.38$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.3813615.4%21 W · 115 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+73.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d97…fbd8backed Yes6c221$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.121124.5%5 W · 107 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd52c…6c59backed Yes7c220.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.591540%6 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick22cpaid+113.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa03e…727abacked Yes6c220.34$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3423145.9%106 W · 125 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb83…ea2ebacked Yes6c215.87$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.275318.9%10 W · 43 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf967…69ccbacked Yes19c211.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.163218.8%6 W · 26 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x310d…4b75backed Yes7c205.29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.335922%13 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe00…e985backed Yes76c204.28$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1217950.3%90 W · 89 L+12.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No24c203.55$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.242,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes6c200$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.639932.6%130 W · 269 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fc7…969bbacked Yes5c199.99$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.7912934.1%44 W · 85 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Yes6c199.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.192114.3%3 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick11cpaid+23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes6c199.99$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.393324.2%8 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes6c199.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.781,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No24c195.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.72,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd868…7f60backed Yes6c183.42$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.4210311.7%12 W · 91 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-29.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed No29c177.12$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.21,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes6c176$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.9731520.3%64 W · 251 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe565…98e4backed Yes6c175.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.94per pick6cpaid+1,498.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2aec…1499backed Yes6c172.41$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.411631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+69.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671d…c1c6backed Yes33c156.53$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.533923.1%9 W · 30 L-3.2wins-0.08per pick31cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x50d4…59a5backed Yes6c156.25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.254928.6%14 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick23cpaid+53.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8103…4d0abacked Yes20c153.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6928326.1%74 W · 209 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No44c129.11$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.472,32718.1%422 W · 1,905 L-363.0wins-0.16per pick34cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4f9e…d520backed No16c128.56$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.572817.9%5 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.22per pick39cpaid-62.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed No48c124.49$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.681,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf580…e230backed Yes79c111.75$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.231266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a1e…5bb5backed No50c111$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.545740.3%184 W · 273 L-28.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes21c107.45$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.641,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc44c…9942backed Yes19c106.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.23425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+32.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes19c104.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.573321.2%7 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+38.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…9319backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20529.6%5 W · 47 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick19cpaid-58.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes11c98.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1410420.2%21 W · 83 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick14cpaid+88.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No19c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.22,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.