Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e8aeb2370d12eec866c7879652c5a5cdb539778927bd3d7668622fac166a43f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $166,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $167,330
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 77,580$7,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,859.7 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 10c | 5,627$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.52 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5123…2f31backed Yes | 8c | 4,900$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403 | 174 | 14.4%25 W · 149 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes | 11c | 4,422$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 9c | 4,140$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.56 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 17c | 3,500$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.07 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc54…4582backed Yes | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 163 | 19.6%32 W · 131 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1402…4853backed Yes | 9c | 2,590$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 153 | 17%26 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed No | 79c | 1,598$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.03 | 201 | 86.1%173 W · 28 L | +46.2wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 73+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed Yes | 10c | 1,573$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x705e…a25fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,354$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ad…eb9cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 25.4%17 W · 50 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d33…80a6backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9254…3af8backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 172 | 11%19 W · 153 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 10c | 750.25$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.03 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x381c…3f20backed Yes | 10c | 750$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9142…b355backed Yes | 9c | 659.53$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2a…0ad4backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 24cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2f…f3f6backed Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9b…9a7fbacked Yes | 10c | 450$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c7…3c77backed Yes | 9c | 444.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…17fcbacked Yes | 9c | 388.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 97 | 30.9%30 W · 67 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…ad27backed Yes | 10c | 340$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 152 | 27%41 W · 111 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 10c | 310$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e3…b615backed Yes | 10c | 290$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 632 | 29.3%185 W · 447 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ef…5f26backed Yes | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x267e…f2e8backed Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51e3…15e6backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e72…0b33backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 23c | 212.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.28 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee8…1b93backed Yes | 9c | 200.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5842…5ab8backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 50.8%92 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…4d18backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ee…11d6backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 9c | 158.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e8…8f37backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 7c | 147.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f7…40c8backed Yes | 10c | 140$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d80…367cbacked Yes | 10c | 130$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 118 | 18.6%22 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bf…e70fbacked Yes | 9c | 129.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 405 | 15.3%62 W · 343 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f0…3a6dbacked Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…cdf1backed Yes | 9c | 116.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 83 | 27.7%23 W · 60 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3e…ab88backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99c…62aebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94f…0cc8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf49c…964abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9e…50eebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bce…3948backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 59.2%74 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9583…fa5dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca58…7975backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc08…6ba8backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0177…01d6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 32.1%25 W · 53 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc7…4e28backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 29.3%22 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…bbabbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 106 | 45.3%48 W · 58 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1a…5e32backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb92…bb30backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?Yes won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan?No won
- Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.