Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc47c9df33fb0c22c7eb5d46a1e080ada8b23093544c35aae4e54ac30892af60c

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $162,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $155,968

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,127 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x3496…8fc4backed Yes	14c	70,000$9,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,800	170	34.7%59 W · 111 L	-5.2wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	10c	23,273$2,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,319.54	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf960…c2febacked Yes	9c	8,889$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-2.2wins	-0.22per pick	42cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes	8c	4,650$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.99	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9942…f1abbacked Yes	9c	3,500$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$315	12	0%0 W · 12 L	-2.0wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Yes	7c	3,200$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.03	178	42.7%76 W · 102 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc88e…f3e1backed Yes	8c	3,090$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.2	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	+30.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	10c	1,972$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.73	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes	9c	1,514$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.77	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5123…2f31backed Yes	7c	1,503$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.17	174	14.4%25 W · 149 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+58.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9183…0598backed Yes	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	94	26.6%25 W · 69 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0b…c6afbacked Yes	16c	1,239$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	34	23.5%8 W · 26 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	21cpaid	+55%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd252…775bbacked Yes	9c	1,082$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.34	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8e…a723backed Yes	12c	820.61$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb136…c3cabacked Yes	8c	562.5$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc27…4672backed Yes	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes	9c	444.44$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	672	9.2%62 W · 610 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Yes	14c	399.52$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.63	288	8%23 W · 265 L	-1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes	8c	388.76$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.77	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9142…b355backed Yes	8c	375$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf31a…bfbabacked Yes	9c	365$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.85	246	16.3%40 W · 206 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6252…da1dbacked Yes	9c	347.22$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	14cpaid	-55.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01d3…4f06backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	+3.8wins	+0.10per pick	38cpaid	+67.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6563…9fc3backed Yes	8c	312.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes	9c	311.11$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	209	11%23 W · 186 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	165	37.6%62 W · 103 L	-2.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	207	8.2%17 W · 190 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-33%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda78…393abacked Yes	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87a6…eb84backed Yes	12c	250$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x267e…f2e8backed Yes	9c	239.99$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.6	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf967…69ccbacked Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	17cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f0…e406backed Yes	9c	222.22$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	21cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a21…e859backed Yes	7c	200$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	257	35%90 W · 167 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5b30…f3c7backed Yes	9c	200$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	37cpaid	-73.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c6f…ddf5backed Yes	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf60f…f17cbacked Yes	11c	200$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	73	31.5%23 W · 50 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes	10c	200$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	18.1%17 W · 77 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84b…f23cbacked Yes	10c	194.7$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.47	37	10.8%4 W · 33 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-49.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x772e…a81fbacked Yes	10c	180$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a34…7ca4backed Yes	15c	173.33$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.14per pick	46cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbe6a…ac9bbacked Yes	12c	166.67$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	33	21.2%7 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+38.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27f0…3a6dbacked Yes	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	18	16.7%3 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf555…3608backed Yes	10c	148$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	169	47.3%80 W · 89 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x2217…1660backed Yes	13c	133.1$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.59	635	44.4%282 W · 353 L	-18.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes	8c	130$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.63	630	35.7%225 W · 405 L	-13.1wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe212…2d07backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	87	35.6%31 W · 56 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9d…ea44backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.7wins	-0.06per pick	23cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd33f…91a8backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x502f…82bebacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfb5…8740backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	72	43.1%31 W · 41 L	+3.9wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	77	44.2%34 W · 43 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9795…390dbacked Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	12cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa369…6686backed Yes	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	29	13.8%4 W · 25 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+52%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	10c	110$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	463	19.9%92 W · 371 L	-8.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a62…3df0backed Yes	12c	104.5$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.47	76	30.3%23 W · 53 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…d6a5backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	59	45.8%27 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2c…83afbacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x899c…9311backed Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4a3…0abebacked Yes	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-2.2wins	-0.15per pick	22cpaid	-74.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd325…8c5fbacked Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	150	43.3%65 W · 85 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e00…4cf1backed Yes	14c	85$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.9	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	-3.4wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49e1…7bf6backed Yes	14c	80$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	-2.6wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan?this page
Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 3 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan?Yes won
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 0 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 1 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan?No won
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 1 Japan?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event