TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9795…390d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 52 out of 100; worst Champions League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT378.1%3 W · 34 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick12cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 0 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.98
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.91
Paraguay vs. France: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Exact Score: Japan 1 - 2 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Tunisia 0 - 3 Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: England 3 - 0 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.84
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Iraq?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+525%+$105
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Saudi Arabia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Côte d'Ivoire?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+900%+$180
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST90%0 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by February 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48.33
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$118.05
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$57.52
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$26
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$73.87
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-69.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.95
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 0 Arsenal FC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$233.01
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.67
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+33.3%+$8.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+69.8%+$21.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$26.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$96.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lakers vs. Knicksbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.