Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cfab5ad8157d027301d09dd4285e8bebf81d9f509d156b42d92bea8b8c5b6b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,188
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $228,123
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,188 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 57,601$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.73 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…948ebacked Yes | 8c | 11,282$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.03 | 174 | 16.1%28 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde0a…f102backed Yes | 8c | 11,258$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.64 | 564 | 10.5%59 W · 505 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed Yes | 7c | 8,921$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624.45 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 8c | 7,152$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.16 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04c…9e3fbacked Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Yes | 8c | 4,219$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.48 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…21e8backed Yes | 8c | 3,551$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 3c | 3,501$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.26 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…68ebbacked Yes | 8c | 3,032$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 132 | 37.1%49 W · 83 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 8c | 2,320$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.57 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2d…60f3backed Yes | 9c | 2,291$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.44 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 29cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 8c | 1,875$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x072f…be02backed Yes | 8c | 1,284$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.71 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9675backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 18.2%41 W · 184 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…2605backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa837…24a4backed Yes | 8c | 1,250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5605…83e2backed Yes | 9c | 1,235$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 351 | 10.8%38 W · 313 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c68…f7d6backed Yes | 8c | 1,200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 350 | 36.3%127 W · 223 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51cf…106cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 153 | 21.6%33 W · 120 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315f…46fcbacked Yes | 9c | 1,056$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 161 | 39.1%63 W · 98 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…3502backed Yes | 9c | 1,013$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.14 | 445 | 24.9%111 W · 334 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb7…6b52backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7493…fe92backed Yes | 8c | 1,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 246 | 26%64 W · 182 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.7 | 138 | 26.1%36 W · 102 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd2…68b0backed Yes | 9c | 805.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 71 | 15.5%11 W · 60 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…ef94backed Yes | 8c | 750$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…e8e6backed Yes | 8c | 708.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 90 | 36.7%33 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ef…628abacked Yes | 9c | 638.63$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd33a…1fe2backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 109 | 29.4%32 W · 77 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…805ebacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc818…1da3backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 20%27 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae7…cc66backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…14afbacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 14.1%13 W · 79 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…d827backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d95…54efbacked Yes | 8c | 620$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 61 | 24.6%15 W · 46 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c8…a93ebacked Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bcd…a2b5backed Yes | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 22.3%23 W · 80 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabfe…256ebacked Yes | 8c | 510.63$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.85 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae0…f46ebacked Yes | 8c | 437.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 121 | 24%29 W · 92 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7f…0492backed Yes | 8c | 416.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.32 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 8c | 387.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074b…af96backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 510 | 45.3%231 W · 279 L | +21.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f0…e971backed Yes | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…2348backed Yes | 11c | 370.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f2…d2d8backed Yes | 9c | 360$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 4c | 348.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbb…2e57backed Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…56fbbacked Yes | 9c | 333.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…2fa7backed Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 167 | 27.5%46 W · 121 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ead…2edfbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 121 | 14.9%18 W · 103 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…7a32backed Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.25per pick | 52cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…390dbacked Yes | 9c | 287.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e67…9a3ebacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 300 | 32.3%97 W · 203 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec12…fd9dbacked Yes | 9c | 277.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 155 | 19.4%30 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf90…99bbbacked Yes | 9c | 272.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.54 | 47 | 19.1%9 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52c8…9b69backed Yes | 8c | 268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.44 | 473 | 21.6%102 W · 371 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee36…bebebacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 27.9%19 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb553…457bbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 142 | 16.2%23 W · 119 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee1f…652cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -45%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f7…3fd0backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70a…a8a3backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…c995backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3daf…19ebbacked Yes | 9c | 250$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 534 | 36%192 W · 342 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700c…5375backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…85adbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…7bbcbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x946f…08ebbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e9…845cbacked Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 308 | 31.2%96 W · 212 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…6434backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cda…de81backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 82 | 23.2%19 W · 63 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb221…a639backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 125 | 20%25 W · 100 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e4…ae30backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c6…1462backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 311 | 19.3%60 W · 251 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…00eabacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 14.6%15 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5816…8167backed Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 169 | 20.1%34 W · 135 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd0c…fb1abacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 483 | 34.2%165 W · 318 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…6fe2backed Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 209 | 11%23 W · 186 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…b9eebacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29d6…1388backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc475…17bfbacked Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…d62fbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 458 | 20.3%93 W · 365 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 9c | 197.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…01cbbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 6.7%3 W · 42 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6e9…9756backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfee1…746fbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5f…b5bdbacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77b8…0650backed Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +17%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1596…0e1abacked Yes | 8c | 187.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 112 | 26.8%30 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7733…23f5backed Yes | 8c | 186$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77e8…58f3backed Yes | 9c | 181$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf688…3791backed Yes | 8c | 175$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Uzbekistan?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Uzbekistan?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.