TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc05a…532b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
238
Categories scored
3
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13424.6%33 W · 101 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 134 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.47
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.76
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+1,150%+$330.22
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.38
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Exact Score: England 1 - 3 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.45
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$57
Exact Score: France 2 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.16
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.07
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Exact Score: France 3 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.83
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$249.68
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.28
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+288.3%+$214.37
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.16
Norway vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.05
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$220
Showing 25 of 134 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10325.2%26 W · 77 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+5.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 103 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Oh My God - Game 2 Winnerbacked Oh My God · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+700%+$87.5
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$39
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$26.5
LoL: Dignitas vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winnerbacked Shopify Rebellion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$13.5
LoL: Fnatic vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18.62
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$54
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$18
LoL: SK Gaming vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+295%+$162.24
LoL: Team Vitality vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+56.3%+$14.91
LoL: GAM Esports vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Deep Cross Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$10
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$38.5
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Kickoff Play-Inbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$48
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+669.2%+$173.98
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Los Ratones (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Los Ratones · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$69
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+279.7%+$110.5
LoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$96
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+104.1%+$76.5
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$28.6
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked Vivo Keyd Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
LoL: LGD Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$88.45
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs GAM Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$24
Showing 25 of 103 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Hornetsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$133.68
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.