Lol · resolved market
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2484ddfa35f9170ec21897e0f23b552b2ed7dacaace6523bde8646105ef6198
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIA Esportsof FURIA Esports, Vivo Keyd Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,815
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,040
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,815 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed FURIA Esports | 45c | 6,000$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.99 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked FURIA Esports | 43c | 4,417$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,510.49 | 771 | 31.8%245 W · 526 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 56c | 4,170$2,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,335.2 | 416 | 44.2%184 W · 232 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 3c | 3,339$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.28 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 10c | 1,928$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.03 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 55c | 1,551$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.81 | 1,592 | 53.7%855 W · 737 L | +57.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bd…39a0backed FURIA Esports | 45c | 1,121$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.88 | 1,229 | 45.1%554 W · 675 L | +48.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 55c | 1,036$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.72 | 411 | 33.8%139 W · 272 L | -28.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafda…0fccbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 15c | 999.99$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3186…e9cabacked FURIA Esports | 78c | 958.13$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.1 | 1,536 | 62.6%961 W · 575 L | +157.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513 | 1,067 | 47%502 W · 565 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 23c | 825$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.85 | 259 | 23.2%60 W · 199 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a0f…1305backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 777$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.89 | 1,463 | 61.4%899 W · 564 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 740$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.6 | 276 | 36.2%100 W · 176 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf9…5b10backed FURIA Esports | 56c | 704.45$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 700$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 1,003 | 54%542 W · 461 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f84…202ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 56c | 699.99$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 958 | 47.6%456 W · 502 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 600$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 16c | 504.76$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.68 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed FURIA Esports | 43c | 500$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285 | 1,151 | 56%644 W · 507 L | +25.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…8927backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 56c | 495.71$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.2 | 420 | 50.5%212 W · 208 L | +27.9wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65ac…2feebacked FURIA Esports | 52c | 382.26$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.26 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd9…bfe8backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 350$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 644 | 53.9%347 W · 297 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 56c | 325.91$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.51 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13c7…11d9backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 712 | 49.2%350 W · 362 L | +14.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…3d7abacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 9c | 300$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 266$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.64 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | -11.2wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd011…ac5dbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 256 | 48.4%124 W · 132 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 260$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…3c23backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 234.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.09 | 280 | 42.5%119 W · 161 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FURIA Esports | 54c | 231.08$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 850 | 46%391 W · 459 L | -11.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked FURIA Esports | 47c | 228.85$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.29 | 633 | 52%329 W · 304 L | +39.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 220.04$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.82 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc690…ec5bbacked FURIA Esports | 47c | 191.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.49 | 414 | 53.4%221 W · 193 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked FURIA Esports | 45c | 187.89$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.89 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,185 | 48.1%570 W · 615 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…d75abacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 55c | 145.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 288 | 37.5%108 W · 180 L | -16.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b7…60fcbacked FURIA Esports | 79c | 126.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecf0…0d38backed FURIA Esports | 50c | 119.32$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.32 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -8.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 23c | 113.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,079 | 26%281 W · 798 L | -99.0wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x10d8…b398backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 53c | 101.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.05 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc05a…532bbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 13c | 99.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 103 | 25.2%26 W · 77 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA Esports | 46c | 98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 1,158 | 42.6%493 W · 665 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked FURIA Esports | 51c | 95.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.53 | 1,048 | 46.1%483 W · 565 L | -43.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb70b…6087backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 21c | 95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd15e…db59backed FURIA Esports | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27c…79e0backed FURIA Esports | 44c | 69.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 396 | 63.4%251 W · 145 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed FURIA Esports | 69c | 60$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.59 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba0c…f837backed FURIA Esports | 71c | 53.9$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 218 | 57.8%126 W · 92 L | +18.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d31…07b0backed FURIA Esports | 49c | 51.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.09 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf4…b11abacked FURIA Esports | 78c | 50.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf78…6d09backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 48.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.24 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b95…b23ebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,024 | 45%461 W · 563 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a07…be22backed FURIA Esports | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f2…a7a0backed FURIA Esports | 64c | 41.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked FURIA Esports | 46c | 40.09$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked FURIA Esports | 41c | 39.9$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 276 | 32.6%90 W · 186 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb28…02bbbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 39.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 230 | 57%131 W · 99 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 38.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 690 | 41.3%285 W · 405 L | -16.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…c76fbacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 57c | 28.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 192 | 44.3%85 W · 107 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cb…bda8backed FURIA Esports | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 218 | 47.2%103 W · 115 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Vivo Keyd Stars | 48c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 184 | 40.8%75 W · 109 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…d1e7backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 61c | 22.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…0399backed Vivo Keyd Stars | 54c | 20.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: FURIA Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?FURIA Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.