TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6a07…be22

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tennis, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST3966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 39 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$6.67
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+73.9%+$14.79
LoL: LEO vs DMG Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked DMG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Game Handicap: GAM (-1.5) vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (+1.5)backed GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+69.5%+$6.97
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports (BO3) - LCP Regular Seasonbacked GAM Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+26.6%+$4.2
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+47.1%+$9.41
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs Leviatan Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+42.5%+$31.17
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Weibo Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$23.48
LoL: Sentinels vs Dignitas - Game 1 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+37.3%+$7.47
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: FURIA Esports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - CBLOL Cup Regular Seasonbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+25%+$18.53
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+35.1%+$5.27
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs DN Freecs (+1.5)backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+75.4%+$15.09
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+61.9%+$12.38
LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+100.4%+$20.08
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
LoL: Team Vitality vs Shifters (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+37%+$7.4
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+31.6%+$5.12
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 39 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-47%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$52.69
Magic vs. Spursbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Spread: Rockets (-10.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Wizardsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+29.9%+$4.48
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+35.1%+$7.03
All 5 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Big Game: First TD Scorer Jersey Number O/U 19.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.88
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+70.6%+$7.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+229.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptistebacked Baptiste · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+229.1%+$88.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Perú Rejects vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.