TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Disguisedof Sentinels, Disguised
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$99,833
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$113,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,833 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x437c…f458backed Sentinels59c10,617$6,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,285.2626246.6%122 W · 140 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Disguised46c6,611$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,597.931,82745.6%834 W · 993 L+26.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Disguised41c6,363$2,595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,768.1623547.7%112 W · 123 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Sentinels1c5,555$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.772072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Disguised60c4,700$2,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,899.261,60342.4%679 W · 924 L-18.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Sentinels53c2,634$1,394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,393.971,49248.4%722 W · 770 L+47.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked Disguised41c2,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.9917839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Disguised49c2,225$1,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,139.851,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x762d…45a6backed Sentinels49c2,013$996 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.6818741.2%77 W · 110 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0c…f837backed Disguised52c1,495$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$714.8621857.8%126 W · 92 L+18.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Disguised35c1,429$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.352,83641.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L-12.9wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe625…94c0backed Sentinels30c1,297$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39174344%327 W · 416 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c7…2b66backed Sentinels34c1,237$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.99042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf70f…3c97backed Disguised47c1,219$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.1716456.7%93 W · 71 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid+4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Disguised59c1,194$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.5485046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…d5b8backed Disguised61c709.89$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.232536%9 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-26.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f9…c327backed Sentinels57c708.7$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.524358.1%25 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Sentinels57c703.61$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40096347.7%459 W · 504 L+2.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b75…3fd1backed Disguised72c656.01$469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.6994134.5%325 W · 616 L+33.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sentinels35c639.93$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.291,26737.7%478 W · 789 L+35.3wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec02…3dd1backed Disguised74c619.16$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1814049.3%69 W · 71 L-22.3wins-0.16per pick65cpaid-29%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed Sentinels58c613.58$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.625446.1%117 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Sentinels53c600$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31842148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bcb…b05abacked Disguised57c595.84$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.2123751.5%122 W · 115 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Disguised50c565$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.61,20354%650 W · 553 L+28.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cad…eb66backed Sentinels51c556.68$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.0748157.6%277 W · 204 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…2c8bbacked Disguised43c508.83$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.432345.8%148 W · 175 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Disguised57c439.86$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.5269756.5%394 W · 303 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c59…3887backed Disguised62c438.3$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.6711129.7%33 W · 78 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6a…04ebbacked Disguised47c399.83$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.9148652.1%253 W · 233 L+2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Disguised54c380$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.1560053.2%319 W · 281 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3911…30f3backed Sentinels62c375.33$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.4516354%88 W · 75 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Sentinels53c370$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.8563551.8%329 W · 306 L+39.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels32c366.87$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.831,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed Sentinels26c357.01$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.5925038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc0c8…97b4backed Disguised49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15368063.4%431 W · 249 L-16.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde2a…6bfebacked Disguised60c299.99$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12172234.1%246 W · 476 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Disguised56c279.76$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9750643.1%218 W · 288 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Sentinels42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1059852%51 W · 47 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8229…dfbfbacked Sentinels41c220$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917444.6%33 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e91…ea34backed Disguised69c209$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1250770%355 W · 152 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x432d…bda6backed Disguised77c200.42$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2313345.9%61 W · 72 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-25.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1ca0…38babacked Disguised45c195.56$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.561,45343.4%630 W · 823 L+106.7wins+0.07per pick36cpaid+20.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2cdf…cbd9backed Disguised66c195$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.53737.8%14 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd084…27eabacked Disguised44c190.34$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.683231.3%10 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-34.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd9a5…c602backed Sentinels20c185.06$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.6429927.8%83 W · 216 L-0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d79…899abacked Sentinels52c184.2$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.66757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+44.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8542…9405backed Sentinels29c174.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1818910.1%19 W · 170 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick12cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x970a…6b89backed Sentinels51c164.99$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9441347.7%197 W · 216 L+23.2wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…6443backed Disguised75c159.09$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.641553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+38.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Sentinels53c158.14$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.371,18948.1%572 W · 617 L-2.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Sentinels56c156.88$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0892342.7%394 W · 529 L-16.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f8…6ef8backed Sentinels50c155$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.59345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5949…1ecbbacked Sentinels36c154.47$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6150%0 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x911f…a2fbbacked Sentinels58c152.22$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.082638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Disguised41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.51,21352.3%635 W · 578 L+33.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Disguised74c150$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391,18751.9%616 W · 571 L-15.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55a6…9a77backed Sentinels35c141.52$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.352913.8%4 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf121…6903backed Disguised48c133.88$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.192638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-33%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Disguised44c130.11$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5470443.9%309 W · 395 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x873d…97b5backed Sentinels34c125.54$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.528924.6%71 W · 218 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88b5…7b0bbacked Sentinels45c118.71$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.897233.3%24 W · 48 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Disguised43c105.84$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.951,07926%281 W · 798 L-99.0wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-46.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7730…df57backed Disguised61c105.49$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.18051.3%41 W · 39 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Disguised75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2545937%170 W · 289 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4b2…4ab2backed Sentinels51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.566445.6%303 W · 361 L+14.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01fa…c2edbacked Disguised49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+36%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51df…2d97backed Disguised51c98.63$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.637853.8%42 W · 36 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0542…7d64backed Sentinels58c93.16$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.033043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x00df…0d23backed Sentinels57c91.57$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.199852%51 W · 47 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Sentinels31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.984450.1%423 W · 421 L+12.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc690…ec5bbacked Sentinels42c85.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3641553.3%221 W · 194 L+1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b50…ea47backed Disguised40c80$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$481,29926.6%345 W · 954 L+65.4wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Sentinels56c79.99$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.843148%207 W · 224 L+13.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ade…e692backed Sentinels59c77.03$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.7722654.4%123 W · 103 L+20.9wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+17.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Sentinels34c71.37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.1460124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e9a…becbbacked Sentinels60c70.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.151855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6271…4ac6backed Disguised45c66.38$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.187349.3%36 W · 37 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3186…e9cabacked Sentinels33c64$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.441,54062.6%964 W · 576 L+158.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Disguised65c59.02$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.6918241.8%76 W · 106 L-0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeffa…94b4backed Sentinels28c49.79$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ce…0a71backed Disguised53c47$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0121158.8%124 W · 87 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d31…07b0backed Sentinels43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019454.6%106 W · 88 L+0.9wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d86…58d7backed Sentinels43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d4d…1a07backed Sentinels64c43.39$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.724748.9%23 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce16…d66fbacked Sentinels55c41.79$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1725639.5%101 W · 155 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Sentinels60c41.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516851.2%86 W · 82 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65e0…e51dbacked Disguised48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6743138.1%164 W · 267 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f80…e222backed Disguised43c40$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238433.3%28 W · 56 L-8.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-43.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x00a3…8532backed Sentinels55c37.75$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.62911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.34per pick45cpaid-51.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5624…b5c4backed Sentinels55c36.36$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028851%147 W · 141 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb11…66cbbacked Disguised53c36.13$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.981,01955.8%569 W · 450 L+22.7wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4f…6a85backed Disguised59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Sentinels36c29.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.775538.2%21 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-30.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6a07…be22backed Sentinels54c27.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153966.7%26 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa55f…ce65backed Disguised80c26.64$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.41877.8%14 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb76…4c2cbacked Sentinels58c25.86$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155366%35 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f92…c778backed Disguised60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sentinels54c21.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.432,36440.7%963 W · 1,401 L-57.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8986…b357backed Disguised65c21.07$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.392352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid+9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.