TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x55a6…9a77

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
40
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 54 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST2913.8%4 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$419.08
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$66
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$159.99
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$78
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$48
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LNG Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Ultra Prime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25.6
LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$40
LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$44.8
LoL: DRX Challengers vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$39.1
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+212.5%+$81.6
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+233.3%+$112
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$75
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$33.8
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO3) - LCS Lock In Group Stagebacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$49.3
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised - Game 2 Winnerbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.35
LoL: Cloud9 vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$33.6
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$43.4
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+300%+$181.51
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN Freecs (BO3) - LCK Cup Group Stagebacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$30
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-01-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+122.2%+$44
Casa Pia AC vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+75.2%+$51.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+354.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$352Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+354.5%+$1,247.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelenskyy attend the World Economic Forum?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$121.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be at least 750 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$108.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Cavaliersbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$20.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.