TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team WEof Team WE, ThunderTalk Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$213,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$292,819

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $213,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c38…1218backed ThunderTalk Gaming31c29,091$8,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,926.321448.1%103 W · 111 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ThunderTalk Gaming3c12,715$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.752,36232%755 W · 1,607 L+42.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1307…d640backed Team WE69c11,451$7,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,513.47345.2%33 W · 40 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming2c10,000$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1618520.5%38 W · 147 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed ThunderTalk Gaming1c7,332$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.22072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming26c6,070$1,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.742840.2%172 W · 256 L-32.1wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca0f…dcb0backed ThunderTalk Gaming9c5,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604610.9%5 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098c…1c67backed ThunderTalk Gaming26c4,313$1,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,123.51,03547.2%489 W · 546 L+26.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Team WE69c3,927$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.371,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team WE69c3,661$2,526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.81,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Team WE71c3,542$2,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.4441644.2%184 W · 232 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Team WE73c3,500$2,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$944.991,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed ThunderTalk Gaming14c3,455$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4791,05628.5%301 W · 755 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde6e…0169backed ThunderTalk Gaming22c2,642$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.3340435.1%142 W · 262 L-1.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed Team WE70c2,500$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75082352.7%434 W · 389 L+41.8wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0588…8f18backed ThunderTalk Gaming15c2,450$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.9925038%95 W · 155 L+20.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+25.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Team WE70c2,200$1,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$660.481,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdca…66ebbacked Team WE74c2,027$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$527.0396057.4%551 W · 409 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2578…8a12backed ThunderTalk Gaming26c2,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b3…48a9backed Team WE74c1,898$1,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.41,02148%490 W · 531 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca8…cf14backed Team WE69c1,869$1,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.081,00354%542 W · 461 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed ThunderTalk Gaming29c1,742$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.3631644.3%140 W · 176 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe8c…9e9ebacked ThunderTalk Gaming5c1,663$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1417839.3%70 W · 108 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aba…5aeebacked ThunderTalk Gaming30c1,593$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+51.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x09ec…427dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming31c1,591$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.1526645.9%122 W · 144 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c1,236$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.891,22945.1%554 W · 675 L+48.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b1e…65c1backed Team WE71c1,180$838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.226942.4%114 W · 155 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf386…9b3fbacked Team WE75c1,134$851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.55330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2bcd…33d1backed ThunderTalk Gaming27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-50.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Team WE70c1,100$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33095041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f84…202ebacked Team WE70c1,069$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$320.5795847.6%456 W · 502 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a6b…9d03backed Team WE74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2603100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+84.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed Team WE70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,02952.3%538 W · 491 L+27.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58a1…17a6backed Team WE74c1,000$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+30.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2aa1…c691backed ThunderTalk Gaming28c1,000$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.619839.9%79 W · 119 L-8.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe486…0c26backed ThunderTalk Gaming3c999.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302193.2%7 W · 212 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked ThunderTalk Gaming28c992.86$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2782,82541.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L-14.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed ThunderTalk Gaming31c857.34$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.693,58440.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L+31.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18c6…9634backed ThunderTalk Gaming24c800$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.1wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69dc…b181backed Team WE73c800$584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-24.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdcf…7e4cbacked Team WE72c799.99$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2242263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xee99…0171backed ThunderTalk Gaming23c799.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.99540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa97f…a818backed ThunderTalk Gaming31c770.94$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.9932844.2%145 W · 183 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Team WE71c747.17$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.4785046%391 W · 459 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Team WE74c728.76$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.481,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team WE70c714.29$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.291,18548.1%570 W · 615 L-2.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed ThunderTalk Gaming28c689.86$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.1212937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed ThunderTalk Gaming29c670.37$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19624147.3%114 W · 127 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd40…12d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming6c610$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick8cpaid+102.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Team WE70c600$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18042148.2%203 W · 218 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+36.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0599…3490backed Team WE74c572.65$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.895367.9%36 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Team WE74c540$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.476953.4%411 W · 358 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team WE74c500$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13085746.3%397 W · 460 L+17.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Team WE70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15064553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Team WE73c410.96$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.963672.2%26 W · 10 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd227…b4cebacked ThunderTalk Gaming3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125211.5%6 W · 46 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Team WE79c400$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8426865.7%176 W · 92 L+13.8wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed ThunderTalk Gaming28c400$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11240347.4%191 W · 212 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c347.54$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.181,31037.3%489 W · 821 L-86.3wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-26.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba3a…b49abacked Team WE74c318.92$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.9218053.3%96 W · 84 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x08fa…2220backed ThunderTalk Gaming5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.25100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Team WE72c300$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8396149.9%480 W · 481 L+4.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1229…3691backed ThunderTalk Gaming9c300$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2813644.9%61 W · 75 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team WE70c286.53$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.962,40642.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L+21.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5784…6788backed Team WE70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.716259.7%37 W · 25 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f9b…bc2fbacked Team WE74c270.27$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2752062.3%324 W · 196 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ce…3f01backed Team WE71c269.08$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1424750.6%125 W · 122 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe342…1f86backed Team WE73c264.94$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9417149.7%85 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Team WE71c250$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.51,18352%615 W · 568 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f76…6323backed ThunderTalk Gaming5c210$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.121810.1%22 W · 196 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed ThunderTalk Gaming20c202.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031522.9%72 W · 243 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0619…d801backed ThunderTalk Gaming31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6233736.5%123 W · 214 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+18.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f4b…3963backed ThunderTalk Gaming5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ea…3363backed Team WE69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6216058.8%94 W · 66 L+11.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x827d…b1f0backed ThunderTalk Gaming17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345440.7%22 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d58…8accbacked Team WE79c194.15$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.3628855.9%161 W · 127 L-20.1wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1412…b6debacked Team WE78c191.95$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9514153.9%76 W · 65 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f89…f3eabacked ThunderTalk Gaming28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505944.1%26 W · 33 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7c3…129bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming6c169.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick21cpaid-84.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e86…2db2backed ThunderTalk Gaming27c162.96$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4424629.7%73 W · 173 L-18.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-20.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked ThunderTalk Gaming29c150$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.560124.1%145 W · 456 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe14c…c2bbbacked Team WE70c146.27$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.888457.1%48 W · 36 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…19bbbacked Team WE71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8518755.1%103 W · 84 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf06…c9ffbacked Team WE72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.8963352%329 W · 304 L+39.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb597…2949backed ThunderTalk Gaming9c133.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122650%13 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55a6…9a77backed ThunderTalk Gaming26c130$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.82913.8%4 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-59.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x40a1…d943backed ThunderTalk Gaming28c125$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510742.1%45 W · 62 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97f2…d84fbacked Team WE70c117.18$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1513345.1%60 W · 73 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4ee…a2b3backed Team WE73c111.18$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0211159.5%66 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae72…f49dbacked ThunderTalk Gaming27c102.22$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0538335%134 W · 249 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3086649.7%430 W · 436 L+18.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a5…9445backed Team WE68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324650%23 W · 23 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1829…2250backed ThunderTalk Gaming20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20130%0 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7482…b7d0backed ThunderTalk Gaming25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257934.2%27 W · 52 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1b7…d976backed Team WE77c97.92$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.526464.1%41 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick68cpaid+2.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Team WE74c96$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641,15842.6%493 W · 665 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c21…6ce6backed ThunderTalk Gaming30c80.64$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.195453.7%29 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9031…5265backed Team WE73c74.74$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1815049.3%74 W · 76 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x52aa…8e3abacked Team WE68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.535446.3%25 W · 29 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x11cb…b931backed Team WE70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211850%9 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.