Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4a593a75f3792506fe8524d7aeaf49334991e6c070d45a4078c72571d710773
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team WEof Team WE, ThunderTalk Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,710
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Team WE | 51c | 5,439$2,774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,664.89 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 262 | 46.6%122 W · 140 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 1,090$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.48 | 1,029 | 52.3%538 W · 491 L | +27.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Team WE | 55c | 587.68$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.46 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed Team WE | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc391…6cc8backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d29…6da9backed Team WE | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 340$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…f688backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 45c | 312.73$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.73 | 147 | 53.7%79 W · 68 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…338abacked Team WE | 55c | 312.73$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.73 | 164 | 51.2%84 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Team WE | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 43c | 69.84$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf343…e069backed ThunderTalk Gaming | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb856…a9bcbacked ThunderTalk Gaming | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -10.4wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: WE (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group PerseveranceTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.