TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf4ee…a2b3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
215
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 54 out of 100; worst CS2 at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT11159.5%66 W · 45 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 111 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.79
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.42
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+41.4%+$14.92
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.26
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$35.02
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$57.44
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$22.55
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Esports Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$7.71
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+110.9%+$22.19
LoL: HANJIN BRION Challengers vs Gen.G Global Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$24.44
Showing 25 of 111 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT5354.7%29 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.46
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.82
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$17.9
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.28
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Iron Wing · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+54%+$26.99
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Iron Wing (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+42%+$8.39
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs 1win - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$31.42
Dota 2: 1win vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked 1win · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffsbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs OG - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+27%+$18.35
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$6.67
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.25per pick60cpaid-45.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
CS2 — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$11.64
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$38.9
Counter-Strike: NRG vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$265.5
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs FaZe (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked BC.Game Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+47.1%+$23.53
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+55.3%+$17.8
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$48.04
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$25.76
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+66.7%+$132.77
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+26.6%+$25.27
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$49.95
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$170.99
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Bebop (BO3) - European Pro League Series 4 Group Abacked Bebop · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 20 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-17.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.35per pick60cpaid-64.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.87per pick13cpaid+686.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$239Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+686.1%+$1,639.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$5.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$966Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+29.9%+$289.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Gemini 3.0 Flash released by December 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jan 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 10-12 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$146.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$223.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$832.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.