TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gen.Gof KT Rolster, Gen.G
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$814,324
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,015,678

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $814,324 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 425 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe100…4d41backed KT Rolster23c93,624$21,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,819.1613251.5%68 W · 64 L+10.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xba38…fb57backed Gen.G80c65,423$52,167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,255.947156.3%40 W · 31 L-9.1wins-0.13per pick69cpaid-17.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc75a…1ab2backed KT Rolster1c39,307$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.927869.8%77 W · 709 L+22.8wins+0.03per pick7cpaid+41.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1c7…f0a7backed Gen.G80c30,000$23,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,013.4713061.5%80 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf201…527ebacked KT Rolster18c28,154$5,139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,139.161,29545.1%584 W · 711 L+49.7wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Gen.G67c27,493$18,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,032.042,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3833…33d1backed Gen.G67c20,000$13,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,554.0464155.7%357 W · 284 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed KT Rolster33c20,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60032150.2%161 W · 160 L+19.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed KT Rolster36c19,555$7,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,039.6853750.5%271 W · 266 L+14.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab44…7ffebacked KT Rolster12c16,351$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,983.725944.8%116 W · 143 L+19.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+7.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x18bb…e5cdbacked KT Rolster20c15,027$2,993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,993.0831328.8%90 W · 223 L+15.2wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed KT Rolster36c14,841$5,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,362.051,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed KT Rolster36c14,100$5,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,075.997538.7%29 W · 46 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba2c…473dbacked KT Rolster37c14,020$5,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,118.27862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+20%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x689f…259cbacked KT Rolster8c13,147$1,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,051.785831%18 W · 40 L-6.2wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-39.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xafd4…7e61backed Gen.G75c13,000$9,790 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2101,20054.1%649 W · 551 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed KT Rolster23c11,863$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.4748149.7%239 W · 242 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb35…b62abacked Gen.G64c10,771$6,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,881.8926549.1%130 W · 135 L+21.5wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x57b4…b46bbacked KT Rolster34c10,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,399.9829443.2%127 W · 167 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x847f…459ebacked Gen.G62c9,800$6,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7242236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-40.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73bc…46cebacked KT Rolster33c9,500$3,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,1406636.4%24 W · 42 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed KT Rolster5c8,665$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018429.9%55 W · 129 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c4…f745backed Gen.G73c8,362$6,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,257.69955.6%55 W · 44 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Gen.G62c8,023$4,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,064.8796048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3818…9797backed KT Rolster38c7,895$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00057957.9%335 W · 244 L+25.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb589…91e3backed Gen.G64c7,813$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,812.551348%246 W · 267 L+25.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x67ed…085abacked Gen.G79c7,666$6,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,622.6110541.9%44 W · 61 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa759…1119backed Gen.G65c7,051$4,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,467.7711367.3%76 W · 37 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+24%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed KT Rolster3c6,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17518132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x751b…73fdbacked Gen.G63c5,878$3,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.5332555.7%181 W · 144 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Gen.G64c5,371$3,437 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,933.521,59253.7%855 W · 737 L+57.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf032…895dbacked KT Rolster32c5,000$1,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,61021859.6%130 W · 88 L+14.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed KT Rolster1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502072.9%6 W · 201 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-75.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed KT Rolster6c5,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32094237.3%351 W · 591 L+51.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Gen.G66c5,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,699.971,06747%502 W · 565 L+3.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Gen.G79c4,725$3,724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.0970162.2%436 W · 265 L-37.3wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-8.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x28e3…881abacked KT Rolster3c4,691$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307627.6%21 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Gen.G75c4,688$3,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,163.931,00342.5%426 W · 577 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e52…eb43backed Gen.G64c4,680$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.31per pick52cpaid+54.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Gen.G68c4,479$3,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.8295041.6%395 W · 555 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Gen.G71c4,403$3,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.951,59842.4%677 W · 921 L-17.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Gen.G67c4,218$2,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.781,30555.9%729 W · 576 L+44.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked KT Rolster35c4,102$1,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,435.861,25937.6%473 W · 786 L+34.1wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2391…554fbacked KT Rolster37c4,038$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50028642.7%122 W · 164 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x000e…f7e9backed KT Rolster19c4,000$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.9989943.4%390 W · 509 L+22.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed KT Rolster1c3,758$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2556432.1%181 W · 383 L-2.3wins0.00per pick32cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Gen.G63c3,670$2,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,357.1521347.9%102 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked KT Rolster20c3,574$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702.7728149.8%140 W · 141 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a0f…1305backed Gen.G63c3,353$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.991,46361.4%899 W · 564 L-19.5wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed KT Rolster6c3,333$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010839.8%43 W · 65 L-12.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Gen.G66c3,295$2,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,134.1160354.7%330 W · 273 L-2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb727…2a9dbacked Gen.G62c3,264$2,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.255349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Gen.G75c3,195$2,407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.9985442.7%365 W · 489 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Gen.G64c3,131$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.5120146.8%94 W · 107 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa469…0782backed Gen.G67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901,32253.2%703 W · 619 L+36.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Gen.G67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.991,43557.4%824 W · 611 L+36.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa88…85a5backed Gen.G63c2,966$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,097.547642.1%32 W · 44 L-4.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc6f…6c5cbacked KT Rolster34c2,919$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00015443.5%67 W · 87 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabc1…9561backed KT Rolster33c2,836$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.887561.3%46 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bb8…aa5fbacked KT Rolster1c2,776$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.22261.8%4 W · 222 L-0.5wins0.00per pick2cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed KT Rolster37c2,718$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,007.1162451.4%321 W · 303 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Gen.G67c2,681$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881.061,09153.8%587 W · 504 L+38.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Gen.G69c2,512$1,725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.0976142%320 W · 441 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x69b1…2687backed KT Rolster35c2,414$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$854.7430843.2%133 W · 175 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37bd…2a26backed Gen.G67c2,400$1,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79264553.3%344 W · 301 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…85bdbacked KT Rolster32c2,250$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7209040%36 W · 54 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Gen.G67c2,211$1,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$729.651,15649.1%568 W · 588 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50fa…907fbacked KT Rolster3c2,057$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.0110023%23 W · 77 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick14cpaid+68.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe751…9af6backed KT Rolster20c2,039$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40025945.2%117 W · 142 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9973…bd7fbacked KT Rolster38c2,000$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.6717953.1%95 W · 84 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd599…bf55backed KT Rolster18c2,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36017933%59 W · 120 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Gen.G65c2,000$1,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.9989050.6%450 W · 440 L+14.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Gen.G68c1,997$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.021,04750.3%527 W · 520 L+37.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67b0…89d3backed Gen.G77c1,996$1,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$458.042085%17 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+22.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb46…ed08backed KT Rolster17c1,900$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32332337.2%120 W · 203 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Gen.G64c1,800$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65248844.3%216 W · 272 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed KT Rolster1c1,791$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.51,60617.5%281 W · 1,325 L-245.0wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-63.5%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed KT Rolster33c1,771$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$583.3147533.3%158 W · 317 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5acf…ead4backed KT Rolster32c1,720$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55016146%74 W · 87 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10ef…7d7bbacked Gen.G67c1,719$1,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.466559.5%396 W · 269 L+72.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5e51…42cebacked KT Rolster20c1,700$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33936155.4%200 W · 161 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb13a…707bbacked Gen.G64c1,672$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.873348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed KT Rolster14c1,650$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23726729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Gen.G64c1,644$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.691,94048.1%934 W · 1,006 L+22.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x661f…098abacked Gen.G64c1,558$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.83862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3d6…3e1ebacked KT Rolster9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1355020%10 W · 40 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5733…4c87backed KT Rolster34c1,471$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50019748.2%95 W · 102 L+15.3wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed KT Rolster6c1,467$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8815334.6%53 W · 100 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6b3…9441backed KT Rolster30c1,450$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43513240.9%54 W · 78 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked KT Rolster17c1,415$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4338931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d5a…c59ebacked KT Rolster8c1,400$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10914418.8%27 W · 117 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f5…1aecbacked KT Rolster14c1,400$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20221828.4%62 W · 156 L-6.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180e…b3a6backed KT Rolster36c1,388$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.716134.4%21 W · 40 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fb4…8830backed KT Rolster3c1,345$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3912437.9%47 W · 77 L+0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed KT Rolster8c1,300$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981,80639.1%707 W · 1,099 L-30.8wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked KT Rolster8c1,255$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.7567115.4%103 W · 568 L-28.9wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed KT Rolster21c1,253$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.631,38937.7%524 W · 865 L-45.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e69…7f76backed KT Rolster34c1,200$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40828448.6%138 W · 146 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xedc3…f923backed KT Rolster40c1,190$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4767744.2%34 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+34.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed KT Rolster7c1,177$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.2512326%32 W · 91 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick24cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.