TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,297
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,443

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,297 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under54c12,413$6,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,707.6896948.6%471 W · 498 L+12.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over46c5,524$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.151,14338.8%444 W · 699 L-46.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5055…b09bbacked Over48c4,130$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013735%48 W · 89 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+33.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over46c3,598$1,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,655.081,09752.3%574 W · 523 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed Under54c2,696$1,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,244.5763751.2%326 W · 311 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7986…baa5backed Under51c2,539$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,245.2421647.7%103 W · 113 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over46c1,641$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.556034.8%195 W · 365 L-14.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over46c1,166$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.3646450.6%235 W · 229 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over46c601.2$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.551758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+31.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24047136.9%174 W · 297 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ac7…8a43backed Over39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19518132.6%59 W · 122 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+50.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over46c478.26$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2203943.6%17 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…5478backed Under53c473.01$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.315547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26f1…6d2fbacked Under64c421.4$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.786051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ab5…db66backed Over50c392.28$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.332445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…02b4backed Under66c380.23$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.2316845.8%77 W · 91 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x68e9…845cbacked Over46c336.96$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15515536.1%56 W · 99 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Under61c326$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.1422250.5%112 W · 110 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Under53c323.16$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.72,98444.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L-94.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Over46c313$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.981827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77f4…148cbacked Over46c308.7$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1423046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…71ddbacked Over48c308.44$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.911350.4%57 W · 56 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9179…2f34backed Under79c292.33$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.7537662%233 W · 143 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed Over46c285.91$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.5236541.9%153 W · 212 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54a6…7401backed Over24c263.67$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0252750.5%266 W · 261 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Under77c260.14$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9339140.4%158 W · 233 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Over46c239.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11026641%109 W · 157 L-1.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Under53c217.01$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.991,39944.9%628 W · 771 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over46c207.02$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.2334340.5%139 W · 204 L-18.2wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over44c202$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8838931.9%124 W · 265 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-28.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under56c200$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$881,59946.8%748 W · 851 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e0…b02cbacked Over27c199.64$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.171,14330.8%352 W · 791 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under52c160$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.61,34349%658 W · 685 L-26.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Under52c153$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.4412937.2%48 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under69c145.64$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.7230049.7%149 W · 151 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df7…3d27backed Over47c115$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.059537.9%36 W · 59 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70d8…d2babacked Over46c104.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.214946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1bf3…d220backed Over49c104.4$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116453%87 W · 77 L+9.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5076246.9%357 W · 405 L+2.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…2b03backed Over48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482060%12 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd473…3febbacked Under53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4712554.4%68 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Over48c96.71$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.491,61643.8%708 W · 908 L-74.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfdd…e70ebacked Under52c96$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.0813839.9%55 W · 83 L-9.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0f38…a0edbacked Under55c90.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.876852.9%36 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Under68c87.12$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.791,00454.5%547 W · 457 L+49.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfbf7…e5dbbacked Over47c85.11$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+47.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over39c78.65$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.842,54039.7%1,009 W · 1,531 L-79.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2b…51debacked Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed Over46c65.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303852.6%20 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Under54c63.72$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2245445.4%206 W · 248 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over36c62.26$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.381,47643.6%643 W · 833 L-31.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4223…42c7backed Over21c62$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.054755.3%26 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Over47c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21,04944.6%468 W · 581 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25a1…ddf8backed Under57c52.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.814362.8%27 W · 16 L+7.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+37.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed Over45c49.98$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.496855.9%38 W · 30 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+17.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Under50c47.24$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.852,02030.5%617 W · 1,403 L-172.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-43.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over46c45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.761256.2%344 W · 268 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Under74c43.59$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.321,18166%780 W · 401 L+70.1wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67d3…b524backed Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204746.8%22 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207753.2%41 W · 36 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+21.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x70fc…0a5dbacked Over46c43.48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+44%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xda07…62a0backed Under55c43.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.363455.9%19 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Over46c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7835848.9%175 W · 183 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c47…b30abacked Over47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202458.3%14 W · 10 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+33.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd001…f718backed Over30c42.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6619553.3%104 W · 91 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4d4…fbd5backed Over49c40.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.461946.5%288 W · 331 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e97…1815backed Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8038…9547backed Under57c39.38$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.098557.6%49 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…2766backed Under58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.483327.3%9 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-35%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5135…62c5backed Over46c32.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under56c29.45$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.962,52147.3%1,193 W · 1,328 L-34.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under53c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.271,23937.3%462 W · 777 L-39.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb17a…f7e5backed Over38c27.22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.212365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+13.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88de…0950backed Over47c25.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123751.4%19 W · 18 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x468b…68a5backed Under71c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.173164.5%20 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Over45c23.09$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3946448.9%227 W · 237 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Over45c22.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3410934.9%38 W · 71 L-15.2wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3252…0631backed Over47c22.68$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.66955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Under68c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.1246952.2%245 W · 224 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.