CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa14e6806b2389ec9fcd9907b7dd444fa59706cd905acb56acb835818d180585c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Aurora Gaming, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,455,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,722,633
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,455,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 637 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed FOKUS | 45c | 321,275$144,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176,885.88 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Aurora Gaming | 63c | 150,886$94,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94,420.12 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 99,381$53,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,665.72 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 80c | 93,595$74,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,520.98 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73e3…1be9backed FOKUS | 16c | 65,954$10,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,401.77 | 203 | 54.2%110 W · 93 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FOKUS | 25c | 43,410$10,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,632.46 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed FOKUS | 26c | 40,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,600 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked FOKUS | 15c | 38,739$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,928.36 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked Aurora Gaming | 71c | 37,393$26,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,492.4 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked FOKUS | 16c | 28,660$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,038.59 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked FOKUS | 45c | 25,000$11,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,749.97 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Aurora Gaming | 32c | 19,633$6,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.73 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 19,000$10,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,640 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…d89cbacked FOKUS | 16c | 14,889$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,506.59 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff7b…1659backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 14,100$7,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,802 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Aurora Gaming | 17c | 11,358$1,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,922.82 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa526…c9f9backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 11,165$6,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,252.28 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…9441backed Aurora Gaming | 52c | 10,900$5,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,634.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed FOKUS | 16c | 10,003$1,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,402.9 | 421 | 42%177 W · 244 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e8…88a4backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,500 | 171 | 62%106 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf892…8acbbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 9,589$5,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,369.79 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FOKUS | 26c | 9,201$2,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,804.24 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FOKUS | 28c | 8,500$2,415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,085.25 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 8,283$4,638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,638.48 | 177 | 37.3%66 W · 111 L | -16.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 8,000$4,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,479.99 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FOKUS | 21c | 7,500$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,940 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 7,050$3,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,877.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 6,745$3,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,709.75 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed FOKUS | 23c | 6,600$1,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,072.97 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab71…2adabacked FOKUS | 33c | 6,584$2,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,394.77 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…08d2backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 6,013$3,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,367.36 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed FOKUS | 38c | 5,865$2,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,611.12 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…748bbacked Aurora Gaming | 42c | 5,531$2,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,323 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked FOKUS | 16c | 5,500$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,620 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 5,423$2,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,982.65 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 5,387$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.85 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 5,386$2,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.3 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed FOKUS | 42c | 5,209$2,167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,042.17 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Aurora Gaming | 62c | 5,177$3,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,193.17 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…d49fbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 5,101$2,857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.56 | 216 | 55.1%119 W · 97 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…1e0cbacked FOKUS | 16c | 5,084$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,269.13 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Aurora Gaming | 41c | 5,021$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.48 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed FOKUS | 53c | 5,013$2,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,332.2 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 4,922$2,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,917.63 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664f…868cbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 4,669$3,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,585.27 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 4,607$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,533.61 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed FOKUS | 24c | 4,500$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,404.98 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed FOKUS | 16c | 4,500$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,787.83 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…a0a9backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 4,200$2,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,310 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…dd2dbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 4,123$2,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,267.65 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked FOKUS | 52c | 4,065$2,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,932.99 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed FOKUS | 27c | 3,901$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.42 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed FOKUS | 32c | 3,834$1,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.35 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed FOKUS | 56c | 3,830$2,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.05 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 3,675$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed FOKUS | 40c | 3,532$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,108.51 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Aurora Gaming | 23c | 3,333$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.54 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 3,300$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 20c | 3,279$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.89 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked FOKUS | 35c | 3,241$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,106.35 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c72…7e7ebacked Aurora Gaming | 57c | 3,055$1,734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,734.3 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 3,047$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299.76 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257e…ca61backed Aurora Gaming | 68c | 3,000$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.5 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9897…c033backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 3,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x934a…a684backed Aurora Gaming | 49c | 2,994$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.91 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Aurora Gaming | 53c | 2,941$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.86 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cb…3d72backed Aurora Gaming | 69c | 2,792$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,926.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 54cpaid | -80%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8112…1e6fbacked FOKUS | 53c | 2,775$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.36 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed FOKUS | 45c | 2,762$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.15 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Aurora Gaming | 70c | 2,721$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 274 | 52.9%145 W · 129 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Aurora Gaming | 39c | 2,631$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.91 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOKUS | 17c | 2,606$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,164.18 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Aurora Gaming | 29c | 2,595$744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.05 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95c2…421bbacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 2,592$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed FOKUS | 18c | 2,580$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115.24 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6003backed Aurora Gaming | 44c | 2,512$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.25 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c52…1a59backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FOKUS | 16c | 2,500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Aurora Gaming | 43c | 2,449$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,054.33 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecf…af11backed Aurora Gaming | 11c | 2,421$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed FOKUS | 16c | 2,386$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.43 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,250$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,055.75 | 439 | 51.7%227 W · 212 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 2,027$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.85 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x11fe…0736backed FOKUS | 27c | 2,017$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,474.51 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FOKUS | 31c | 2,012$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.51 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.99 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.99 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f6…eb09backed Aurora Gaming | 47c | 2,000$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.99 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeea5…8f4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.99 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.32per pick | 44cpaid | -76%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked FOKUS | 35c | 1,959$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.16 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked FOKUS | 23c | 1,943$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,497.97 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x461d…db9ebacked FOKUS | 71c | 1,936$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.41 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Aurora Gaming | 27c | 1,928$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.88 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked FOKUS | 16c | 1,900$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,595.84 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17fe…b0cabacked FOKUS | 53c | 1,896$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.86 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked FOKUS | 22c | 1,831$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,431.44 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…54cebacked FOKUS | 17c | 1,800$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…d902backed Aurora Gaming | 19c | 1,764$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.69 | 62 | 71%44 W · 18 L | +12.9wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FOKUS | 19c | 1,750$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs FOKUS (+6.5)FOKUS won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.