CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99d824fa7a476bcf846652ce65127e89ab22f6c35bf6e9e1ac2e1c3cc06cfc04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $518,664
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $613,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $518,664 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed FOKUS | 25c | 236,976$58,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58,298.06 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 120,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,000 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 39,912$30,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,578.82 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 21,892$16,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,473 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +4.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4c…e850backed FOKUS | 1c | 18,494$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 1cpaid | +3,233.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…73fdbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 17,250$13,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,048.76 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Aurora Gaming | 73c | 15,025$10,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,068.71 | 210 | 48.1%101 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed FOKUS | 20c | 11,700$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.03 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 9,877$7,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,469.25 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 7,500$5,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,725 | 196 | 60.7%119 W · 77 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 5,882$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.3 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FOKUS | 23c | 5,475$1,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.3 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f4…8300backed FOKUS | 24c | 5,093$1,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,222.3 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x996c…b6ecbacked FOKUS | 11c | 5,003$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.9 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked FOKUS | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 214 | 24.8%53 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d8…a00bbacked FOKUS | 16c | 4,323$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.2 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…a2c9backed FOKUS | 25c | 4,096$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.96 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fec…e218backed FOKUS | 25c | 4,094$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…7991backed FOKUS | 24c | 4,040$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.6 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…281fbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 3,911$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.58 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc57f…1746backed Aurora Gaming | 74c | 3,445$2,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.7 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 3,388$2,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.2 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc1…c26bbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 2,750$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.5 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 2,667$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.67 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa8…cae6backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 2,500$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.66 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…5556backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 2,336$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.35 | 676 | 51.8%350 W · 326 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked FOKUS | 12c | 2,205$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.89 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc670…b781backed FOKUS | 24c | 2,070$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.41 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked FOKUS | 23c | 1,957$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 635 | 41.9%266 W · 369 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed FOKUS | 19c | 1,955$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.27 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 1,793$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.36 | 222 | 41.4%92 W · 130 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,619$1,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.53 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,610$1,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.5 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 1,554$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.96 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked FOKUS | 14c | 1,527$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.46 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked FOKUS | 24c | 1,520$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.8 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 1,504$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked FOKUS | 23c | 1,467$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.45 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed FOKUS | 23c | 1,388$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.19 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 1,200$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 1,199$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.79 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…d561backed FOKUS | 8c | 1,018$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +48.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7643…fb95backed FOKUS | 24c | 1,017$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.08 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f0b…f901backed FOKUS | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 359 | 53.2%191 W · 168 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed FOKUS | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 210 | 60%126 W · 84 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS | 15c | 926.8$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.02 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5a…1457backed FOKUS | 14c | 892.9$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed FOKUS | 23c | 883.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.74 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa34f…1cfabacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 786.15$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.15 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd676…104cbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 749.98$577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 116 | 50%58 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…2399backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 723.92$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FOKUS | 25c | 700$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb75b…e377backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 660.06$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.01 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0378…7634backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Aurora Gaming | 72c | 633.57$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.04 | 153 | 37.3%57 W · 96 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FOKUS | 16c | 592.82$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.95 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed FOKUS | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed FOKUS | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd4…0cb7backed FOKUS | 26c | 576.33$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed FOKUS | 15c | 566.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c7d…83edbacked FOKUS | 7c | 540$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 530$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf148…0b4fbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed FOKUS | 24c | 524.71$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.93 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…584ebacked FOKUS | 24c | 506$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.44 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd943…8676backed FOKUS | 14c | 502.07$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +5.2wins | +0.21per pick | 35cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed FOKUS | 21c | 500$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 371 | 45.6%169 W · 202 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7374…d9f0backed FOKUS | 18c | 490.75$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed FOKUS | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07c0…4debbacked FOKUS | 28c | 445.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.28 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.32per pick | 42cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc86f…e603backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 425$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.25 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…b47cbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 421.05$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.05 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed FOKUS | 8c | 413.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2405…e055backed FOKUS | 24c | 410.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.53 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd6…8efebacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 410.53$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.53 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1111…1f86backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 393.3$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 71 | 67.6%48 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d77…b4babacked FOKUS | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…eae3backed FOKUS | 7c | 356$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +47%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dff…7fecbacked FOKUS | 13c | 336.47$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa5…05bbbacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 313.41$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0010…c3a8backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 316 | 73.7%233 W · 83 L | +23.6wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba7…dd5abacked Aurora Gaming | 76c | 262.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.99 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FOKUS | 7c | 250.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb13f…5e0bbacked FOKUS | 17c | 250$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b2…8681backed Aurora Gaming | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b2…70f0backed FOKUS | 17c | 249.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.5 | 428 | 31.3%134 W · 294 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS | 20c | 229.57$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked FOKUS | 25c | 226$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.5 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FOKUS | 25c | 225$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Aurora Gaming | 72c | 221$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…2ef6backed FOKUS | 16c | 215.07$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 212$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 212$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked FOKUS | 18c | 210.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.45 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 195$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5453…a834backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 185.4$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.64 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty QualifierFOKUS won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)Aurora Gaming won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-6.5) vs FOKUS (+6.5)FOKUS won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Aurora Gaming (-3.5) vs FOKUS (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs FOKUS (+1.5)FOKUS won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.