TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fc0…eae3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: CS2, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT2356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
CS2 — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: ex-RUSTEC vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group Stagebacked NEW VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.71
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Playoffsbacked Johnny Speeds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$18.92
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.47
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.9
Counter-Strike: magic vs 3DMAX (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$63
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.96
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Sinners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+200.2%+$142.08
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.56
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+659.5%+$221.43
Counter-Strike: NIP vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Dbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+162.3%+$52.56
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NIP (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+150%+$27
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.52
Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs ODDIK (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked ODDIK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.2
Counter-Strike: los kogutos vs kONO.ECF (BO3) - European Pro League Series 5 Group Bbacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$8.8
Counter-Strike: ODDIK vs 9z (BO3) - BetBoom RUSH B! Summit Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+38.9%+$8.4
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION (BO5) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.7
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$8.1
Counter-Strike: WHITEBIRD vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+221.3%+$24.11
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Counter-Strike: Fake do Biru vs largadosypelados (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsbacked largadosypelados · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Counter-Strike: ARCRED vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked los kogutos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+235.3%+$35.79
All 23 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Sarmiento win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$32
Will CA Belgrano win on 2026-02-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$39.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crawley Town FC win on 2026-08-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$33.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+66.3%+$31.04
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+61.3%+$7.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AC Milan vs. Como 1907 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+35.8%+$9.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$23.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$63.43
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.